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[NL20-NL50] NL25 Alternative line with AA

    • KortKongen
      Joined: 05.03.2011 Posts: 25
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Replayer
      Hero ($37.03)
      BB ($21.54)
      UTG ($29.95)
      UTG+1 ($25.05)
      CO ($4.94)
      BTN ($31.56)

      Dealt to Hero A:diamond: A:heart:

      fold, UTG+1 raises to $1.25, fold, fold, Hero raises to $3.75, fold, UTG+1 calls $2.50

      FLOP ($7.75) A:spade: Q:heart: 3:heart:

      Hero bets $3.25, UTG+1 raises to $11.50, Hero calls $8.25

      TURN ($30.75) A:spade: Q:heart: 3:heart: A:club:

      Hero checks, UTG+1 checks

      RIVER ($30.75) A:spade: Q:heart: 3:heart: A:club: 3:club:

      Hero checks, UTG+1 checks

      Hero shows A:diamond: A:heart:
      (Pre 80%, Flop 99.9%, Turn 100.0%)

      Villian is 45/15 with an agg factor of 1.7. He is raising flop cbets 33% of the time.

      My thinking is that he is representing sets and strong Ax hand (which i on turn know is not in his range) with which he will bet turn or river anyway. Otherwise the raise is a bluff and will fold to my aggression anyway, so i decided to bluffcatch. Should i just bet river and hope for an wierd call or should i just have shoved the flop in the first place?
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343

      he is putting in more than half his stack, so unless he has there total air, he should call your shove all of his range (that this case likely is flushdraw or maybe 33, so I would prefer shoving flop. On rainbow boards you can b/c flop to then give him option barreling turn, but here I would prefer getting all-in on the flop

      On the river he would not bluff his missed draws, but might call Qx, so I would shove there for value