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[NL2-NL10] NL2 - FR - QJ - 15 outs shoves

    • cpers
      cpers
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.04.2011 Posts: 566
      PartyGaming - $0.02 NL - Holdem - 8 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      SB: $0.78
      BB: $2.00
      UTG: $0.50
      UTG+1: $2.29
      MP: $5.96
      MP+1: $0.74
      CO: $2.17
      Hero (BTN): $2.00

      SB posts SB $0.01, BB posts BB $0.02, CO posts DB $0.03

      Pre Flop: ($0.06) Hero has J:diamond: Q:heart:

      fold, UTG+1 calls $0.02, MP calls $0.02, fold, CO checks, Hero raises to $0.14, fold, fold, UTG+1 calls $0.12, fold, fold

      Flop: ($0.36, 2 players) T:diamond: 2:diamond: K:diamond:
      UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $0.30, UTG+1 raises to $0.88, Hero raises to $1.86 and is all-in ???

      Hello,

      I thought I could ship it since I have 15 outs, it turns out I don't have much equity on this hand. I guess I should've fold it here, right? X(

      Board: T:diamond: 2:diamond: K:diamond:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP1    62.78%  62.78%   0.00% { TT, 22, KTs, AdQd, AdJd, AdTd, Ad5d, Ad4d, Ad3d, Ad2d, KTo }
      BU     37.22%  37.22%   0.00% { QhJd }

      Thanks,
      cpers
  • 3 replies
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello cpers,

      You can't even be sure what kind of outs are clean for you. So pretty standard fold I would say here. :) Bet/Fold it!

      Best Regards.
    • cpers
      cpers
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.04.2011 Posts: 566
      You can't even be sure what kind of outs are clean for you.
      I believe you're talking about the flush's outs, right. So what if the situation looks like this, where we have nut flush draw. Still standard bet/fold?

      Board: J:diamond: Q:diamond: T:diamond:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP1    57.37%  54.66%   2.71% { JJ-TT, 98s, KdQd, KdJd, 98o }
      BU     42.63%  39.92%   2.71% { Ad9h }
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      If I would be talking about only flush outs then we already had to discount SD outs. :P

      And with A9o you most likely wouldn't even be isolating preflop vs so many opponents. But even if you would have done it I wouldn't be playing for the stacks because it would be pretty much a coinflip for us anyways.