[NL20-NL50] Nl20 Sh Qj river bet/fold

    • SPeedFANat1c
      SPeedFANat1c
      Gold
      Joined: 04.01.2009 Posts: 5,074
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.20(BB) Replayer
      SB ($23.21)
      Hero ($38.20)
      UTG ($19)
      CO ($18.52)
      BTN ($18.84)

      Dealt to Hero J:club: Q:spade:

      fold, fold, BTN raises to $0.40, fold, Hero calls $0.20

      FLOP ($0.90) T:heart: 9:heart: 6:club:

      Hero checks, BTN bets $0.67, Hero raises to $2.35, BTN calls $1.68

      TURN ($5.60) T:heart: 9:heart: 6:club: J:spade:

      Hero bets $4.20, BTN calls $4.20

      RIVER ($14) T:heart: 9:heart: 6:club: J:spade: 3:club:

      Hero bets $4.40, BTN raises to $11.89 (AI), Hero folds

      BTN wins $21.66

      58/22/4.3, cbet 85, fold cbet to raise 67 (6), AF on river 1.5

      I didn't call river because:
      he called raise on flop, which from stats he doesn't do often
      his river AF is low, and he should raise with J8 or weaker hand, but I believe he would just call. Also straigt draw completed. Only there is busted FD, but he should not thinkt that this small raise will work for him as bluff.
      Also I was planning to bet/fold, otherwise if I would want to invest all my chips, I would go allin myself, because as I said he could call with J8 but not raise with it.

      But maybe its better to check/fold then bet fold, because the pot is big, and we don't expect him to bluff often.
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Hi,

      against 58/22 player you can´t really b/f river getting these odds, since he would shove there his missed draws and likely would shove turn his better hands. Like your small bet on the river to induce shove, but then also go with your hand

      best regards,