[NL2-NL10] JJ set vs reg

    • cozacu
      cozacu
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.02.2010 Posts: 1,379
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.02/$0.04 No-Limit Hold'em (4 handed)

      Known players:
      BB (Hero):
      $5.92
      CO:
      $6.87
      BU:
      $4.00
      SB:
      $9.76


      Preflop: Hero is BB with J, J.
      CO folds, BU raises to $0.12, SB folds, Hero calls $0.08.

      Flop: ($0.26) 8, J, T (2 players)
      Hero checks, BU bets $0.16, Hero raises to $0.68, BU calls $0.52.

      Turn: ($1.62) Q (2 players)
      Hero checks, BU bets $1.02, Hero folds, BU gets uncalled bet back.

      Final Pot: $1.62.


      villain 17/14 3bet 4.2 af 2.9 cbet 78% 700hands

      What do you think about this spot?I think i made a pretty big mistake by folding the hand... hands that he`s got in range there were AA,KK,AK ... maybe QJ ... i can't see him playing QQ like that.
  • 2 replies
    • rap1dw1n3r
      rap1dw1n3r
      Bronze
      Joined: 06.02.2009 Posts: 266
      I think it wasn't that big of an mistake. Players at low he's tight and in my opinion he has either AK here or 99 and maybe QQ. He is not shoving here with KK or AA because the board is so draw heavy. I would fold in this spot just as you did since the only hands you beat are AA and KK in this spot and he might be shoving TT or 88 also but rarely I think. and the rest if the hands like AK QQ 99 beat you so I think the fold here is the best choice.
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello cozacu,

      Preflop: Against BTN stealing range I'd be even happy to 3bet here. :)

      As played
      Postflop: Most likely I would still not be giving up it on the turn, his range may easily contain a lot of worse hands, so I'd Check/Call it while we might even have the best hand and if he doesn't have a made hand and just a pair he is Checking behind and at the same time if we hit our FH we are still able to play for the stacks:

      Board: 8:diamond: J:spade: T:diamond:  Q:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    54.13%  52.01%   2.13% { QQ+, TT, 88, AKs, KQs, J9s, T9s, 98s, AKo, KQo, J9o, T9o, 98o }
      UTG+1  45.87%  43.74%   2.13% { JhJc }

      Best Regards.