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[NL2-NL10] NL10 SH KQs

    • oskrgy
      oskrgy
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.04.2008 Posts: 549
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      Hero ($10.40)
      BB ($13.88)
      UTG ($10.15)
      UTG+1 ($10)
      CO ($9.85)
      BTN ($10)

      Dealt to Hero Q:diamond: K:diamond:

      fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to $0.30, Hero raises to $0.90, BB calls $0.80, BTN calls $0.60

      FLOP ($2.70) A:diamond: Q:spade: 2:diamond:

      Hero bets $1.35, BB folds, BTN raises to $3.70, Hero raises to $9.50 (AI), BTN calls $5.40 (AI)

      Vilalin is decent TAG , with 21/17/3,8/2.7 (vpip/pfr/3b/aff) and staeal 58%. Hes fold to 3b = 43% over 600 hands.
      So due to that I am not sure was my 3b preflop correct decision,.
      Maybe I_ should go with call route here?

      As I expected, he caleld and flop briings up 2nd pair + FD .

      I decided to cbet here and I get raised.
      Hes value range here is AK,AQ,QQ,22,
      But since this flop is is stanard for cbet her might be raising me with draws , worst PPs(TT,JJ) or total bluffs.
      SInce I have 45% equity vs top of hes range, and with so much dead money in the pot I decided to shove .

      What do you think :
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello oskrgy,

      Preflop: Why do you 3bet in first place if he doesn't fold much and fights back? Why do you 3bet so small being OOP and vs 3xBB?

      As played
      Postflop: You need ~38% equity here and against even made hands you still get it but it's pretty much a break-even spot:

      Board: A:diamond: Q:spade: 2:diamond:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    42.28%  42.15%   0.14% { KdQd }
      UTG+1  57.72%  57.58%   0.14% { QQ, 22, AJs+, AJo+ }

      If we would even remove some of the hands like AJ the equity would even fall and would be exactly break-even.

      Best Regards.