Matt Grinding... NLSH Cash?; have a look at my stats

    • inlovewithamsterdam
      inlovewithamsterdam
      Bronze
      Joined: 08.07.2009 Posts: 666
      all right everyone?

      WHO AM I?
      My name's Matt and I live and study with my girlfriend in the UK. If all goes to plan you'll be seeing me on the telly as a Media Discourse/Terrorism expert. These two interests of mine I've followed now for quite a while and hopefully will get my dreamt-of career!

      I also just started playing Bongos (for those not familiar a pic below):

      I've always wanted to be a drummer but life didn't let me. So I got into Bongos (my thoughtful friends bought me them this christmas)!

      On the subject of music I have favourites across many genres: Bob Dylan, J. Cash, Iron Maiden, Rage Against The Machine, Red Hot Chili Peppers, System Of A Down, Nirvana, Deep Purple & Led Zeppelin, The Police, a polish rock band Kult (translates as Cult) and its frontman Kazik, like a bit of Explosions in the Sky and Marylin Manson but also Vaya Con Dios and... WAKE UP! I've finished for now.

      I love reading, on-line news/journalistic portals and books likewise. Actually I do the former almost obsessively!

      Alright but enough of this, POKER!


      POKER!
      I've played with a "seriouslahr" approach for about a year and a half now. Was introduced into poker zillion years ago by my older brother who was tired of me asking "why do you raise AJ? you said it's not that good" over his shoulder. I started out on FT (that's where I got my $50 bankroll) playing FR Cash Games and all that's left after that "break-even-bad-reg-o-shit-they-3bet-me-and-i've-got-JJ-miniscule-profit-based-mostly-on-rakeback" legacy is $300 that I don't know if I'll get back.

      I like 6max Cash Games, 1 Table SNGs, MTTs not so much (I'm an extrovert so like action), have played a wee bit of PLO and liked it a lot.
      I also play live in a student club, there are weekly tournaments with a £5 BI, participant pools ranging from 40 to 70. An interesting bunch, a fine mix of fish and sharks, have had a few successful nights in there! Came second once for £130 and the other time in a special format (£10 BI to play that night, 3 SNGs for points, only 1st place paid in each + 2 final tables of 16 with top scorers) I came 2nd, 2nd and 1st in the 3rd SNG but unfortunately didn't make it to the real moniez at the final table.

      So as you can see there's quite a few formats that interest me!
      But on the forefront of my agenda now are...:
      $3 SNGs! Have grinded them (and $6s) for a while now, but withdrew some of my bankroll because I was in need of money. So back to Threes!

      I've got two main goals if it comes to my poker, one short-term & one long-term:

      [:spade:] [ ][ ]
      Short Term - Grind SNGs for pure dollarage (regular influx of moniez into the household budget required)

      [:spade:] [:spade:] [:spade:]
      Long Term - Build Bankroll for NL25, from where I shall set out on a journey and who knows where I might end up! (PLO?)


      WA GWANIN' IN THIS BLOG?
      I will post all kinds of shizzle-ma-nizzle here, incl. session details, STT situations that baffle me, interesting hands, giraffes, brief rants about reality, more giraffes, big news from personal life etc.

      I want this blog to help me develop into a better player and be a source of constant motivachawn!

      Oh and I would have forgotten - introductory giraffe:


      Uploaded with ImageShack.us

      that's how I'm doing with the SNG grindage so far. Not bad I'd say, pretty happy with myself. But still a lot of spots to improve!

      BEST!
      Matt
  • 84 replies
    • IngridN
      IngridN
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.03.2011 Posts: 12,162
      Hello Matt and big welcome to our blogs section!

      If all goes to plan you'll be seeing me on the telly as a Media Discourse/Terrorism expert
      :f_eek: really? you mean you would travel to different places and be a broadcaster?

      I also play 6 max! Good luck at the tables!
      Ingrid
    • inlovewithamsterdam
      inlovewithamsterdam
      Bronze
      Joined: 08.07.2009 Posts: 666
      Originally posted by IngridN
      you mean you would travel to different places and be a broadcaster?
      Ingrid
      no I rather meant I would do my own research (which would make me an expert) and be invited to programmes on telly to give opinions on stuff.

      I'm particularly passionate about Critical Terrorism Studies, i.e. a discipline that has in its core to critique findings of the mainstream terrorism 'experts'. You'd be surprised how many myths they succumb to and how biased their work is.

      Currently I'm working on my first terrorism-related piece of research, doing it as a 3rd year project!

      Thanks for interest!

      I must sound really boring! :f_grin:

      EDIT:

      UPDATE!
      Yesterday I had my best day in SNG Grindage yet! Get in!

    • inlovewithamsterdam
      inlovewithamsterdam
      Bronze
      Joined: 08.07.2009 Posts: 666
      Had a break from poker for few days but today I'll get back to grinding.

      Have done a small review of the hands that I marked and posted them in the evaluation forums.

      I'd appreciate if I could get some feedback on following spots:

      Calling on the bubble with KTo
      $3 STT; KTo call vs. 2.5bb push bubble

      Reshove with A4s in MP as a reaction to a 2bb push
      $3 STT; reshove A4s

      Reshove with KTs as a reaction to a UTG 3bb shove by Reg
      $3 STT; KTs reshove

      Putting pressure when being a Big Stack
      $3 STT; being BS, putting pressure

      Concerning the last one - any rules of thumb, general advice? What do you do?

      Thanks
      Matt

      EDIT: some more interesting spots

      What interests me in this is UTG's (tight reg) play:

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $200(BB) Replayer
      SB ($2,560)
      BB ($1,840)
      UTG ($2,330)
      UTG+1 ($1,580)
      UTG+2 ($2,360)
      Hero ($2,300)
      MP2 ($3,350)
      CO ($1,850)
      BTN ($1,830)

      Dealt to Hero 5:heart: 5:club:

      UTG calls $200, UTG+1 calls $200, fold, Hero raises to $2,300 (AI), fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, UTG calls $2,100, fold

      FLOP ($5,100) 4:heart: J:spade: 3:heart:

      TURN ($5,100) 4:heart: J:spade: 3:heart: 6:spade:

      RIVER ($5,100) 4:heart: J:spade: 3:heart: 6:spade: A:club:

      Hero shows 5:heart: 5:club:
      (Pre 51%, Flop 47.1%, Turn 68.2%)

      UTG shows Q:heart: K:heart:
      (Pre 49%, Flop 52.9%, Turn 31.8%)

      Hero wins $5,100

      - could one consider that line when the table's full of Regs? i.e. UTG assumes that they're going to be making steal-pushes with a weaker range and therefore just limp/calls the KQ rather than fold or push outright? Is what he did correct in any circumstance? Also what do you think about my push with 55?


      Iso push vs. limper

      He's a fish 39/0/6 0.1 over 86 hands. Standard move? What's the bottom of the range here?

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $200(BB) Replayer
      SB ($1,700)
      BB ($1,940)
      UTG ($1,930)
      UTG+1 ($2,260)
      UTG+2 ($5,880)
      Hero ($2,190)
      CO ($1,195)
      BTN ($2,905)

      Dealt to Hero K:diamond: T:diamond:

      fold, fold, UTG+2 calls $200, Hero raises to $2,190 (AI), fold, fold, fold, fold, fold

      J9s on BB vs BU open Limp 11bbs in stack

      No info on villain. Push? What is the bottom range of our pushes here?

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $100(BB) Replayer
      SB ($4,110)
      Hero ($1,285)
      UTG ($2,270)
      UTG+1 ($2,000)
      UTG+2 ($2,455)
      MP1 ($1,700)
      MP2 ($2,620)
      CO ($1,910)
      BTN ($1,650)

      Dealt to Hero J:club: 9:club:

      fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, BTN calls $100, fold, Hero?
    • inlovewithamsterdam
      inlovewithamsterdam
      Bronze
      Joined: 08.07.2009 Posts: 666
      A successful session yesterday:




      This is how I'm doing in 2012 so far!




      I'm practising Bubble Spots with ICM atm,
      was quite shocked at the gap between suited aces and unsuited aces. From the ranges given by the program I derived that in most we should sooner be pushing T8s than A2o! This might be obvious to some, but I found it quite a surprise.

      I was also surprised by our wide range of pushing BvB (we're in SB and it's folded to us) when we're very short on the bubble (~2bbs). ICM Trainer says 74%!
      My thinking so far was that given the BB can't fold due to pot odds, we should select a stronger range, i.e. 40-50%. Turns out it's not like this in the end, since 74% includes hands like 96o, T4o or T2s.

      An important lesson from my brief training session is also the significance of prioritising suited and connected hands when making shortstacked pushes!. It is perhaps best illustrated by when we're UTG on the Bubble with 3.5bbs. ICM says push 25%, but offsuited aces start from A8o+ (!); we give up the A8o- in favour of hands like 78s.

      An extra area for improvement off the top of my head:
      *HU pushes (consult Mathematics of Poker)
    • kolonel71
      kolonel71
      Bronze
      Joined: 28.06.2009 Posts: 193
      Good read so far, and you seem to be switched on in making a go of it.

      I have just started some of the ICM stuff (ICM Trainer) and have had a few surprises myself. Gotta love some of those SC :D

      Look forward to your progress.

      kolonel
    • Alficor1
      Alficor1
      Bronze
      Joined: 16.06.2010 Posts: 7,291
      Originally posted by inlovewithamsterdam
      No info on villain. Push? What is the bottom range of our pushes here?

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $100(BB) Replayer
      SB ($4,110)
      Hero ($1,285)
      UTG ($2,270)
      UTG+1 ($2,000)
      UTG+2 ($2,455)
      MP1 ($1,700)
      MP2 ($2,620)
      CO ($1,910)
      BTN ($1,650)

      Dealt to Hero J:club: 9:club:

      fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, BTN calls $100, fold, Hero?
      Hi, my advice would be that you should wait for some stats/reads before you shove light vs. button limps. So against a complete unknown i would just check and see a flop. But if you know he's a fish who will limp anything somewhat playable then shoving is obviously fine (but dont do it everytime, he will get mad and call you even with a hand like 65 because "he knows you're bluffing").

      Having said that, vs. unknown i'd probably jam any ace/pair and any two broadways.
    • inlovewithamsterdam
      inlovewithamsterdam
      Bronze
      Joined: 08.07.2009 Posts: 666
      Thanks for the replies fellas, glad you're liking the blog kolonel71!


      Originally posted by Alficor1
      Originally posted by inlovewithamsterdam
      No info on villain. Push? What is the bottom range of our pushes here?

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $100(BB) Replayer
      SB ($4,110)
      Hero ($1,285)
      UTG ($2,270)
      UTG+1 ($2,000)
      UTG+2 ($2,455)
      MP1 ($1,700)
      MP2 ($2,620)
      CO ($1,910)
      BTN ($1,650)

      Dealt to Hero J:club: 9:club:

      fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, BTN calls $100, fold, Hero?
      Hi, my advice would be that you should wait for some stats/reads before you shove light vs. button limps. So against a complete unknown i would just check and see a flop. But if you know he's a fish who will limp anything somewhat playable then shoving is obviously fine (but dont do it everytime, he will get mad and call you even with a hand like 65 because "he knows you're bluffing").

      Having said that, vs. unknown i'd probably jam any ace/pair and any two broadways.
      So you would shove it if you know he's a fish that would limp wide here, but not overdo it because they might start "adjusting".
      But vs unknowns (readless) you would check and see the flop.

      So it's this bit that confuses me:

      Originally posted by Alficor1
      Having said that, vs. unknown i'd probably jam any ace/pair and any two broadways.
      So this tells me your jam over an unknown's limp would depend on circumstances. You sometimes would jam it and sometimes wouldn't. What criteria?


      EDIT: It would be great if we could get some discussion going on the other hands I posted.
    • Alficor1
      Alficor1
      Bronze
      Joined: 16.06.2010 Posts: 7,291
      So you would shove it if you know he's a fish that would limp wide here, but not overdo it because they might start "adjusting". But vs unknowns (readless) you would check and see the flop.


      Right. It's wrong to shove everytime he limps, because even if its a fish who's watching porn while 10 tabling, he's simply gonna notice it and will only continue to limp with hands that he's willing to call of a shove with. (obviously, every fish has a different calling range. For some its 45o+, for some JJ+. Either way, you dont want to take the risk with a marginal hand like J9s.)

      So this tells me your jam over an unknown's limp would depend on circumstances. You sometimes would jam it and sometimes wouldn't. What criteria?


      Obviously your hand strenght is the main criteria in this case. You need to jam with hands that will have decent equity even if you get called and are behind. For example if you jam here with 73o, you only have ok equity vs. non-pairs. Against a pair over 77 you have terrible equity. However a hand like A2o has ok equity against any hand other than AA and is even going to be ahead of most non-pairs like KQ/QT/etc. While 73o is never going to be ahead.
    • inlovewithamsterdam
      inlovewithamsterdam
      Bronze
      Joined: 08.07.2009 Posts: 666
      Thanks Alficor appreciate the input.

      Today was an ok session,



      Uploaded with ImageShack.us


      Some interesting spots came up:

      1) Putting pressure on the bubble

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $600(BB) Replayer
      SB ($2,045)
      BB ($6,310)
      Hero ($8,780)
      BTN ($2,865)

      Dealt to Hero J:heart: Q:heart:

      Hero raises to $1,200, fold, SB raises to $2,045 (AI), fold, Hero calls $845

      I was reluctant to shove outright as I was shitting it BB will wake up with a hand (would suck to be eliminated with two shorties out there).
      I was obviously going to r/c vs BTN and SB & r/f vs the BB.
      What hands to do this with? Is the JQs the bottom of the range?

      2) Pre-flop spot with AK

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $60(BB) Replayer
      Hero ($1,920)
      BB ($2,120)
      UTG ($2,000)
      UTG+1 ($2,440)
      UTG+2 ($1,920)
      MP1 ($2,080)
      MP2 ($1,940)
      MP3 ($2,000)
      CO ($1,780)
      BTN ($1,800)

      Dealt to Hero A:heart: K:spade:

      fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, MP3 raises to $120, CO calls $120, fold, Hero calls $90, fold

      I wasn't sure what to do. Raising I dismissed straight away, and folding seems very weak. Calling...? I'll have no initiative and thus the hand will be at a disadvantage. Nothing seems to be right. Perhaps a raise would have been the best? Well the two players were fish so I don't see them folding. Playing a big pot OOP with a vulnerable hand...meh. Thoughts?

      3) Shove over limper

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $200(BB) Replayer
      Hero ($1,680)
      BB ($3,080)
      UTG ($1,270)
      UTG+1 ($3,020)
      UTG+2 ($1,810)
      MP1 ($1,700)
      CO ($3,480)
      BTN ($3,960)

      Dealt to Hero Q:diamond: 9:club:

      fold, fold, fold, MP1 calls $200, fold, fold, Hero raises to $1,680 (AI),

      Villain just looked so weak, especially considering the stats, 40/5 0.0 over 38 hands, the limp stat was at 36%.
      Is Q9o too weak to do this with? Thoughts? Cheers.


      4) 3handed vs fish (BvB)

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $600(BB) Replayer
      Hero ($7,230)
      BB ($8,380)
      BTN ($4,390)

      Dealt to Hero 4:diamond: K:heart:

      fold, Hero raises to $7,230 (AI),

      What our range looks like BvB 3handed vs. a fish?


      5) Bubble push - too wide?

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $400(BB) Replayer
      SB ($5,390)
      BB ($9,580)
      Hero ($2,580)
      BTN ($2,450)

      Dealt to Hero 9:spade: T:spade:

      Hero raises to $2,580 (AI)


      6) Call of LP push 10bbs
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $200(BB) Replayer
      Hero ($1,690)
      BB ($2,620)
      UTG ($2,660)
      UTG+1 ($3,560)
      UTG+2 ($3,080)
      MP1 ($1,610)
      MP2 ($2,150)
      CO ($1,970)
      BTN ($660)

      Dealt to Hero A:diamond: 9:diamond:

      fold, fold, fold, fold, MP2 raises to $2,150 (AI), fold, fold, Hero calls $1,590 (AI),

      Where I need to improve:

      :club: 10bbs (and less) pushes & calls -> ICM trainer?
      I'm wondering how to use the "Edge" slider in this programme? If I want it to consider that Villains are not calling Nash, but tighter, how do I move the slider?

      :club: Re-steal ranges -> Wiz, Silver/Gold Videos?
      I don't think there are any Silver videos on this topic, and I don't have Wiz either. Meaning this will have to wait at least till the end of the month (When I get gold)?

      :club: HU game -> Mathematics of Poker by Chen and Ankenman
      have the book just need a good hour to study it!

      :club: Shoving over limpers -> hand evaluation forums
    • inlovewithamsterdam
      inlovewithamsterdam
      Bronze
      Joined: 08.07.2009 Posts: 666
      a lot happening atm in my life, so tonight I'll only post a graph of today's session- and what a graph it is!
      My first ass-kicking from Miss Variance! She's been too nice to me so far, knew it was coming!



      Uploaded with ImageShack.us

      Today's session featured ridic set-ups BvB, hands like AA < A4s... - as you see I finished 4th a BIT more often than I usually do...

      Fuck it, my mindset is left untouched!
      I'll post interesting/confusing spots for discussion when I have time (within a few days).

      Epic song:
    • inlovewithamsterdam
      inlovewithamsterdam
      Bronze
      Joined: 08.07.2009 Posts: 666
      .
    • DtotheC
      DtotheC
      Headadmin
      Headadmin
      Joined: 23.11.2010 Posts: 259
      Those graphs (even the downswing) are pretty sick. Good work matey.

      Just rest comfortable in the knowledge that what comes around, goes around, so if karma isnt being a bitch, then you should have a nice heater on its way!

      Good luck at the tables mate, will try and pop in here when I can and see how your progressing.

      KR,

      DC
    • inlovewithamsterdam
      inlovewithamsterdam
      Bronze
      Joined: 08.07.2009 Posts: 666
      Originally posted by DtotheC
      Those graphs (even the downswing) are pretty sick. Good work matey.

      Just rest comfortable in the knowledge that what comes around, goes around, so if karma isnt being a bitch, then you should have a nice heater on its way!

      Good luck at the tables mate, will try and pop in here when I can and see how your progressing.

      KR,

      DC
      Cheers mate, appreciate that!


      Back to my old ways!

      Brief session (very brief), but let's say we can assume I'm back to my old ways!


      Just got the STT BI structure on BETFAIR off Gary (Holly Michelle) in one of the forums; that means I'm ready and set to transfer my roll over there and let the grinding commence when the time is right!

      From my calculations I figured out I should be able to extract the $250 of bonus money (in $10 increments) in the two months designated for it.

      Also on another note, till 29th Feb I can update HM1 to HM2 for a smaller price. I'm not sure if I want to go for it, as judging by the screens HM2 is not for me... I don't like fancy-shmancy shizzle (like them interpreting the stats for me), I like the simplicity and functionality of HM1. Then again, HM1 will soon stop being updated and I'll be left out with the rest of HM1 nerds on the consumer roadside - shivering, cold and forgotten... Anyone uses HM2 and can tell me if (especially for a SNG player) it offers anything better than HM1? General opinions are welcome, too.

      Some good news in private life, I started making first steps towards a translation career! Pretty excited!

      Will update with session reviews/hand questions in the next few days!

      Month of February for ya:
    • inlovewithamsterdam
      inlovewithamsterdam
      Bronze
      Joined: 08.07.2009 Posts: 666
      BLOG: I'll mark one question per post in orange-red from now on, and that is a question I'd like answered by those who read, if possible.
      ----------------

      So, interesting hands from today:

      1) 2BB Push
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $1,600(BB) Replayer
      SB ($4,820)
      Hero ($6,860)
      CO ($5,120)
      BTN ($3,200)

      Dealt to Hero 5:heart: 4:heart:

      fold, BTN raises to $3,200 (AI), fold, Hero calls $1,600

      FLOP ($7,200) 6:diamond: 4:spade: 7:spade:

      TURN ($7,200) 6:diamond: 4:spade: 7:spade: 3:diamond:

      RIVER ($7,200) 6:diamond: 4:spade: 7:spade: 3:diamond: T:heart:

      Hero shows 5:heart: 4:heart:
      (Pre 41%, Flop 80.6%, Turn 96.6%)

      BTN shows K:diamond: A:heart:
      (Pre 59%, Flop 19.4%, Turn 3.4%)

      Hero wins $7,200

      due to the odds - 3.5:1 - we need 22% equity to make it a +chipEV call - any two. But the fact that we're on the bubble adds another 12% percent (called a Risk Premium), so to make it +$EV we actually need 34%. It's still most of the hands (excluding maybe bottom 5-8%) vs his range but this example illustrates that even facing a 2bb push there is still some Risk Premium to be taken into account.

      2) K8 in BB facing a SB shove

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $600(BB) Replayer
      SB ($5,340)
      Hero ($4,820)
      UTG ($2,610)
      CO ($3,840)
      BTN ($3,390)

      Dealt to Hero K:spade: 8:heart:

      fold, fold, fold, SB raises to $5,340 (AI), Hero calls $4,220 (AI)

      FLOP ($9,640) 7:spade: 3:club: Q:spade:

      TURN ($9,640) 7:spade: 3:club: Q:spade: 2:spade:

      RIVER ($9,640) 7:spade: 3:club: Q:spade: 2:spade: 4:heart:

      SB shows T:heart: Q:heart:
      (Pre 47%, Flop 83.6%, Turn 72.7%)

      Hero shows K:spade: 8:heart:
      (Pre 53%, Flop 16.4%, Turn 27.3%)

      SB wins $9,640

      due to his Reggy stats we can assume he shoves about 40%
      (22+,A2s+,K4s+,Q6s+,J7s+,T8s+,98s,87s,76s,65s,A2o+,K6o+,Q8o+,J8o+)
      .

      ICM explorer tells us we need 59% equity to make it a +$EV call (there's 15% risk premium due to closeness of the bubble).
      vs the range I assume the SB is shoving K8o has 44% Equity. Not enough.
      77s are a call and ATo & A9s are (marginally profitable) calls.

      Now what if he shoves about 60% of hands
      (22+,A2s+,K2s+,Q2s+,J2s+,T3s+,94s+,85s+,75s+,64s+,53s+,43s,A2o+,K4o+,Q6o+,J7o+,T7o+,97o+,87o,76o,65o,54o)
      ?

      It doesn't change much, as we can only add a few more hands, like A8s to our calling range. This I guess shows our reluctance towards confrontation as a big stack vs. other big stack.

      3) A4s in SB facing an open shove from Reggy opponent

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $200(BB) Replayer
      Hero ($1,490)
      BB ($1,700)
      UTG ($3,110)
      UTG+1 ($5,660)
      CO ($6,010)
      BTN ($2,030)

      Dealt to Hero 4:spade: A:spade:

      fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to $2,030 (AI), Hero calls $1,390 (AI), fold

      FLOP ($3,180) J:heart: J:diamond: 9:diamond:

      TURN ($3,180) J:heart: J:diamond: 9:diamond: 4:diamond:

      RIVER ($3,180) J:heart: J:diamond: 9:diamond: 4:diamond: 5:spade:

      BTN shows 5:diamond: 5:club:
      (Pre 66%, Flop 73.4%, Turn 84.1%)

      Hero shows 4:spade: A:spade:
      (Pre 34%, Flop 26.6%, Turn 15.9%)

      BTN wins $3,180

      From a pot odds point of view we need 43.71% equity vs. his range to break even in chips. According to ICMExplorer, the Risk Premium in this situ is 3.66%. This means we need 47.38% equity vs. his range for it to be break-even in $EV.

      How much does he shove there? Am I right to assume, from his Reggy stats, that it could be around 30% (22+,A3s+,K8s+,Q8s+,J9s+,A5o+,K8o+,Q9o+,JTo)?

      If it so, the A4s has 46.75% equity vs this range, so looks like a borderline fold. Actually if we consider that from time to time, BB will wake up with a hand he wants to call, this is a considerably losing play.
      A5s (47.43% vs the range) would probably be Break-Even.

      4) A8o shove into 5 players, 6bbs

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $400(BB) Replayer
      SB ($1,680)
      BB ($4,020)
      UTG ($1,170)
      UTG+1 ($3,460)
      Hero ($2,490)
      CO ($5,345)
      BTN ($1,835)

      Dealt to Hero A:club: 8:diamond:

      fold, UTG+1 calls $400, Hero raises to $2,490 (AI),

      Correct?

      What's my progress
      I've recently started to study situations with ICM Explorer (cheers Phzon) during my session reviews and made effort to use odds when considering calls in-game (believe it or not I scarcely did it so far). I find the latter a daunting task, couldn't focus at all today and timed out on a few premiums which made me feel annoyed. But I'm getting there...!

      Hopefully understanding of Risk Premiums in different situations and ability to quickly calculate odds (which will both come with time) will be a nice boost to my ROI on the Betfair's $5s, $10s and who knows maybe even on $20s!

      Also I've learned a few things (some from playing around with ICM Ex, some from Chenny's "Beating the tougher games" vids and a lot from Phzon's "Calling AIs"), I'll list a few here. They may very well be basics, but somehow they didn't reach me earlier:
      -on the bubble, with 4 equal stacks, Risk Premium=16%
      -vs a wide range, 99s are better than AK
      -vs a tight range, AK is better
      -when we're chipleader on the bubble we've got interest in prolonging it

      Things I still need to learn/do:
      -how to play small pockets Early Position, Early Stage?
      -how to size bets to NOT be dedicated on the river when the obvious draw hits? Do we even do this or do we not care?
      -RESTEAL MORE! - that's one of my biggest if not the biggest leak, I don't resteal enough during midstages! Need to sit down and start calculating stuff like "if villain minRaises x but only minR/calls an y percentage of x, it's profitable to 3bet shove with v."
      Any vids/training resources you'd recommend?

      I'm flooded with (academic) work so can't really focus too well lately. Made a few pretty bad mistakes today. Treated it as a signal that a break from poker is needed.

      Back in a few days, meanwhile, graphs - how I've done since last time and 2012 so far:

      08.02-today(11.02)


      Uploaded with ImageShack.us

      2012 so far


      Uploaded with ImageShack.us

      :s_cool:
    • alxpoker91
      alxpoker91
      Gold
      Joined: 03.12.2011 Posts: 1,015
      nice blog and graphs :)

      do you plan on moving up?
    • inlovewithamsterdam
      inlovewithamsterdam
      Bronze
      Joined: 08.07.2009 Posts: 666
      Originally posted by alxpoker91
      nice blog and graphs :)

      do you plan on moving up?
      cheers. Haha I know you lot like staring at graphs, $Won ones especially!

      Yes I do plan to move up in the future. I initially planned to grind just $3s for dollarage but recently my bankroll has allowed me to play $6s. So now I will grind the $6s (and mix in some $3s when there's no traffic) for money and when the time is right, I will move my whole bankroll to Betfair (mainly for its traffic), where I shall start grinding from $5s. Will grind till the $20s, maybe further? Don't really know. Depends on how it's all going and how much edge I think I have.
    • inlovewithamsterdam
      inlovewithamsterdam
      Bronze
      Joined: 08.07.2009 Posts: 666
      I'm looking at some hands. The call BB made there is actually correct! It didn't look it at all to me.

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $800(BB) Replayer
      Hero ($4,695)
      BB ($3,720)
      CO ($9,185)
      BTN ($2,400)

      Hero antes $25
      CO antes $25
      BTN antes $25
      BB antes $25

      Dealt to Hero 9:spade: Q:club:

      fold, BTN raises to $2,375 (AI), fold, BB calls $1,575

      FLOP ($5,250) 9:club: 8:diamond: 2:diamond:

      TURN ($5,250) 9:club: 8:diamond: 2:diamond: Q:heart:

      RIVER ($5,250) 9:club: 8:diamond: 2:diamond: Q:heart: 5:heart:

      BTN shows A:club: 6:club:
      (Pre 61%, Flop 19.8%, Turn 6.8%)

      BB shows A:diamond: 2:heart:
      (Pre 39%, Flop 80.2%, Turn 93.2%)

      BB wins $5,250


      Here's what ICM Explorer says about this call:
      Fold: 2895 chips, 0.1831, SD: $15.75
      Win: 6570 chips, 0.3352
      Lose: 1320 chips, 0.0963
      Tie: 3945 chips, 0.2316

      Equity needed: 36.32%
      Chip odds: 30%
      Risk premium: 6.32%
      Chips gained by marginal call: 331.92.
      Ties count as 56.64% of a win.
      SD of marginal call: $16.39.

      So even vs. a hyper-unrealistic range of 15% (77+,A7s+,K9s+,QTs+,JTs,ATo+,KTo+,QJo) this is still correct (A2o has 39% equity)
    • inlovewithamsterdam
      inlovewithamsterdam
      Bronze
      Joined: 08.07.2009 Posts: 666
      same player, another surprise - the call is correct

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $600(BB) Replayer
      SB ($5,555)
      BB ($3,460)
      UTG ($1,660)
      Hero ($3,989)
      BTN ($5,336)

      Dealt to Hero 9:club: 6:heart:

      UTG raises to $1,660 (AI), fold, fold, fold, BB calls $1,060

      FLOP ($3,620) A:club: 7:diamond: 5:heart:

      TURN ($3,620) A:club: 7:diamond: 5:heart: 5:diamond:

      RIVER ($3,620) A:club: 7:diamond: 5:heart: 5:diamond: 4:heart:

      UTG shows Q:spade: 7:heart:
      (Pre 41%, Flop 86.6%, Turn 93.2%)

      BB shows K:club: 2:diamond:
      (Pre 59%, Flop 13.4%, Turn 6.8%)

      UTG wins $3,620

      ICM Explorer:
      Fold: 2860 chips, 0.1563, SD: $16.37
      Win: 5420 chips, 0.2642
      Lose: 1800 chips, 0.1043
      Tie: 3610 chips, 0.1901

      Equity needed: 32.51%
      Chip odds: 29.28%
      Risk premium: 3.23%
      Chips gained by marginal call: 117.04.
      Ties count as 53.66% of a win.
      SD of marginal call: $16.57.


      K2o vs a 50% range has more than enough (41%) equity. Even a 65o would be a call here!
      Looks like I've got a lot to learn!
    • inlovewithamsterdam
      inlovewithamsterdam
      Bronze
      Joined: 08.07.2009 Posts: 666
      a good re-steal opportunity I missed:

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $500(BB) Replayer
      SB ($1,880)
      BB ($500)
      UTG ($5,550)
      UTG+1 ($630)
      CO ($7,655)
      Hero ($3,785)

      UTG antes $25
      UTG+1 antes $25
      CO antes $25
      Hero antes $25
      SB antes $25

      Dealt to Hero A:spade: 4:diamond:

      fold, UTG+1 raises to $605 (AI), fold, fold, SB calls $205

      FLOP ($1,835) 7:club: 9:diamond: 6:club:

      TURN ($1,835) 7:club: 9:diamond: 6:club: J:heart:

      RIVER ($1,835) 7:club: 9:diamond: 6:club: J:heart: 5:diamond:

      BB shows 8:heart: Q:club:
      (Pre 31%, Flop 35.0%, Turn 16.7%)

      UTG+1 shows K:club: T:spade:
      (Pre 46%, Flop 48.9%, Turn 21.4%)

      SB shows J:club: 2:spade:
      (Pre 24%, Flop 16.1%, Turn 61.9%)

      BB wins $1,575
      SB wins $260