[NL2-NL10] NL2 - FR - AQ - thin value

    • cpers
      cpers
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.04.2011 Posts: 563
      PartyGaming - $0.02 NL - Holdem - 8 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      MP+1: $1.99
      CO: $2.00
      BTN: $1.93
      SB: $1.77
      BB: $2.00
      Hero (UTG): $2.00
      UTG+1: $1.84
      MP: $2.00

      SB posts SB $0.01, BB posts BB $0.02, CO posts DB $0.01

      Pre Flop: ($0.04) Hero has Q:diamond: A:heart:

      Hero raises to $0.08, fold, fold, fold, CO calls $0.07, fold, SB calls $0.07, fold

      Flop: ($0.26, 3 players) Q:spade: 8:club: K:diamond:
      SB checks, Hero bets $0.16, CO calls $0.16, fold

      Turn: ($0.58, 2 players) 9:heart:
      Hero checks, CO checks

      River: ($0.58, 2 players) 4:diamond:
      Hero bets $0.28 ???

      Hello,

      He played passive, and check behind on the turn. The board is pretty much dry. I beat any pairs except K, two-pair or straight. I showed weakness on the turn, so I think he still capable of calling with weaker pairs. So I decided to bet/fold for thin value. Not worth it? I guess it's not, not so good at all. At least I don't have a good equity.

      Board: Q:spade: 8:club: K:diamond:  9:heart:  4:diamond:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG+2  35.86%  33.79%   2.07% { AdQh }
      CO     64.14%  62.07%   2.07% { 99-88, 44, AQs, A8s, K8s+, Q8s+, JTs, J8s, T8s, 98s, AQo, A8o, K8o+, QTo+, Q8o, JTo, J8o, T8o, 98o }

      Thanks,
      cpers
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