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[NL20-NL50] sh 25 Q9s OOP bluff catch on the river

    • DeMarcohsp
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,975
      Poker Stars $25.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1625233
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      BTN: $17.91 - VPIP: 30, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 1.0, Hands: 10

      Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is CO with 9 :diamond: Q :diamond:
      2 folds, Hero raises to $0.75, BTN calls $0.75, 2 folds

      Flop: ($1.85) A :club: 5 :club: Q :spade: (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.30, BTN calls $1.30

      Turn: ($4.45) T :heart: (2 players)
      Hero bets $3.00, BTN calls $3

      River: ($10.45) K :heart: (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $4.00, Hero calls $4

      Thought that villain would not bet on the river anything worse than 2p and I considered that the non-2p part of his range is enough to make the call.

      I need to be right 4/18.45 ~ 21% of the time, correct?
  • 2 replies
    • ragney
      Joined: 02.08.2010 Posts: 2,417
      He looks to be a passive fish. Snapfold such.
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello DeMarcohsp,

      Yes, correct. You need to be right for ~22% in cases which includes also rake. But about the play here is that that's true that he has some missed FDs in his range but at the same time he has a lot of Jx hands in his range as well.

      My idea usually is towards Betting the turn for protection and make the plan for Check/Fold the river no matter what and try it to lead towards it not try any fancy moves.

      Best Regards.