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[NL2-NL10] Set on the river

    • maheepsangari
      maheepsangari
      Bronze
      Joined: 08.06.2010 Posts: 2,163
      $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players


      BTN: $12.09 (120.9 bb)
      SB: $17.46 (174.6 bb)
      BB: $29.83 (298.3 bb)
      UTG+1: $13.61 (136.1 bb)
      UTG+2: $10.97 (109.7 bb)
      Hero (MP1): $10.73 (107.3 bb) 15/6/12.0/0.0/143
      MP2: $11.32 (113.2 bb)
      MP3: $10 (100 bb)
      CO: $47.55 (475.5 bb) 61/16/0.9/1.9/138

      Preflop: Hero is MP1 with J J
      2 folds, Hero raises to $0.40, 2 folds, CO calls $0.40, 3 folds

      Flop: ($0.95) 3 5 8 (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.60, CO calls $0.60

      Turn: ($2.15) T (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.40, CO calls $1.40

      River: ($4.95) J (2 players)
      Hero bets $3, CO raises to $8, Hero raises to $8.33 and is all-in, CO calls $0.33

      Should you fold here? Had on overpair all along and have a set now. Is it safe to assume that he could have slowplayed an overpair himself and raised on the river to extract value( a hand like KK or AA) or perhaps he hit a set somewhere on the flop or turn and raised now. What do you think here? Call or Fold?

      Results: $21.61 pot ($0.97 rake)
      Final Board: 3 5 8 T J
      Hero showed J J and lost (-$10.73 net)
      CO showed 7 9 and won $20.64 ($9.91 net)
  • 2 replies
    • maheepsangari
      maheepsangari
      Bronze
      Joined: 08.06.2010 Posts: 2,163

      Board: 3:heart: 5:diamond: 8:club:  T:diamond:  J:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    42.86%  42.86%   0.00% { JdJc }
      MP2    57.14%  57.14%   0.00% { TT, 88, 55, 33, 97s, 97o }


      I needed about 25% equity. The problem is his range, too wide and he could have 97, so how to handle this situation against this opponent.
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello maheepsangari,

      Well, what you should do in first place here is to Bet the flop & turn bigger to protect your hand. Your bet sizing is pretty weak.

      But as played I doubt that I would get away while the opponent could easily even have worse sets there. Not that many hands did complete either.

      Best Regards.