[NL20-NL50] sh 25 JTs 2pair vs aggro guy

    • DeMarcohsp
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,975
      Poker Stars $25.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1629089
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      BB: $23.62 - VPIP: 52, PFR: 14, 3B: 5, AF: 2.6, Hands: 63

      Hero (MP): $41.62 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 18, 3B: 6, AF: 5.1, Hands: 53314

      Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is MP with J :heart: T :heart:
      1 fold, Hero raises to $0.87, 3 folds, BB calls $0.62

      Flop: ($1.84) T :club: K :club: J :spade: (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $1.50, BB raises to $3, Hero calls $1.50

      Turn: ($7.84) 4 :heart: (2 players)
      BB bets $3.25, Hero calls $3.25

      River: ($14.34) 3 :heart: (2 players)
      BB bets $16.50, Hero calls $16.50

      Villain was quite aggressive, caught him bluffing once but did not have any clear tell on his bet sizing. I don't know how much credit should I give my opponent's for overbet shoving on the river, and since the board didn't change that much I think it should be standard to fold until I have a good reason not to?
  • 3 replies
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343

      if you had seen him bluffing then he may easily do that again. Two pair is too strong hand to fold against 52/14 player, I would call him down

      Best regards,
    • CallumN
      Joined: 04.01.2012 Posts: 1,141
      I think river is a fold. even giving him a whole bunch of FD's he still has a very wide value range

      equity win tie pots won pots tied
      Hand 0: 29.231% 26.15% 03.08% 17 2.00 { JhTh }
      Hand 1: 70.769% 67.69% 03.08% 44 2.00 { AQs, AcJc, Ac9c, Ac8c, Ac7c, Ac6c, Ac5c, Ac4c, Ac3c, Ac2c, KJs-KTs, QcJc, Q9s, Qc8c, Qc7c, Qc6c, JTs, Jc9c, Jc8c, Jc7c, 9c8c, AQo, KJo-KTo, Q9o, JTo }
    • DeLau
      Joined: 10.01.2009 Posts: 1,606
      When I read the hand, I thought raising his small turn bet was the way to go. When he overbets river, I call. Just weird to bet turn small first and then overbet river.