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[NL20-NL50] 98s

    • TheTK
      Joined: 29.09.2011 Posts: 52
      vs 23/20 fold to flop cbet:39%,fold to turn cbet:20%

      Party, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $73.25 (146.5 bb)
      MP: $62.02 (124 bb)
      SB: $58.31 (116.6 bb)
      Hero (UTG): $79.84 (159.7 bb)
      CO: $50 (100 bb)
      BB: $50 (100 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is UTG with 8 9
      Hero raises to $1.50, 2 folds, BTN calls $1.50, SB folds, BB calls $1

      Flop: ($4.75) J T 3 (3 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $3.39, BTN folds, BB calls $3.39

      Turn: ($11.53) 3 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $8.22, BB calls $8.22

      River: ($27.97) 5 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $17, BB calls $17

      Results: $61.97 pot ($3 rake)
      Final Board: J T 3 3 5
      Hero showed 8 9 and lost (-$30.11 net)
      BB showed A J and won $58.97 ($28.86 net)

      My plan here was to 3 barrel. He's floating a lot and i have a very good draw. When he called me down to the river i didn't know if 3rd barrel is still good. I put him on, KQ, AQ, AJ, maybe AK,JJ, TT or a FD and my thoughts were that i have a lot of fold equity sice most of the hands missed, and i think the sets would be raising the flop. I even thought he should fold AJ here, sinnce i was UTG and i'm representing such a strong range. Thoughts?
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello TheTK,

      What about his most important stats? WTSD/W$SD? Or why did you even go for 3barrel here. If he ain't folding to CBets at all then most likely I wouldn't even be barreling myself off here, no point unless he has really small WTSD.

      Neither I don't like that much to build up the pot on the turn while it turned even paired board. If he is rather a bad opponent then you can time to time even see them Check/Raising even the turn if they have set on flop.

      Best Regards.