I think donking is good on the turn as i think he often checks behind this board, and there are still quite a few ugly cards that can hit that river. Plus i get value from hands i beat KT, and Heart draws. A big raise gets me to fold cheaply but i dont see how his raise is big enough for me to fold.
Yep, I like the donking especially vs rather small 2nd barrel guy, if he had high 2nd barrel then I would just Check/Call.
River: makes no sense. No overpair ships, and to be honest dont think he ever has many straight draws as why would they raise turn and why not larger and try and generate fold equity.
Well, kind of the turn play already doesn't make sense actually, guess we kind of induced him to raise us vs with the donk and I have catch myself couple of times the same way while donk the turn and they raise me. But just usually they tend to give up on the river, so therefore he has to be more aggressive side guy to see him shipping with worse on the river.
The flop bet is large as well on a dry board, why would a set not bet less to keep me in the pot more often?
Doesn't see the bet being very large, rather would say kind of standard sizing. Most likely he would have done that with sets to build up the pot.
Especially with my check on the river since i never check the straight he feels he can fire me off a big pair, or maybe a set..
That's true and most likely if he turned his hand into bluff on the turn anyways then he is shipping this river, even any pair would be turned into bluff like 88/99. But as I said you practically just beat bluff and have to expect him being capable of doing that.