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[NL2-NL10] nl4 6max agro fish

    • sausage646
      Joined: 30.03.2010 Posts: 567
      Known players:

      0,02/0,04 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Elephant 0.105 by

      Preflop: Hero is CO with A:spade: , K:heart:
      MP2 folds, MP3 raises to $0,16, Hero calls $0,16, BU calls $0,16, SB calls $0,14, BB folds.

      Flop: ($0,68) K:diamond: , 5:heart: , 2:heart: (4 players)
      SB checks, MP3 checks, Hero bets $0,52, 2 folds, MP3 calls $0,52.

      Turn: ($1,72) K:spade: (2 players)
      MP3 checks, Hero bets $1,04, MP3 calls $1,04.

      River: ($3,80) T:club: (2 players)
      MP3 raises $3,38 (All-In), Hero ?

      note: over aggressive spewy fish
      on 3bet fold 70%
      cbet flop 70%

      range(on river)
      55,22,KTs+,AhQh,AhJh,AhTh,Ah9h,KTo+ - 42.86%
      AsKh - 57.14%

      range(on river)[worst case]
      55,22,AKs,KQs,KTs,AKo,KQo,KTo - 65.63 %
      AsKh - 34.38 %

      odds needed 3.38 / 10.56 = 32%
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello sausage646,

      Preflop: Why do you Call in first place here having so many opponents behind you? It's a spot for me to 3bet or just fold. You have too many loose opponents behind you whom you giving great odds.

      As played
      Postflop: Well, the problem there is that he will come up here very often with the nuts. :) Also what you forgot is that he seems to be so far pretty aggressive, so with hands like AK I'd rather expect him to squeeze. 38% range could easily also mean K5s/K2s in his range which would give us even worse equity. But overall the question is if we really can fold here and put him directly on just FH, he might even ship with trip here so hard to fold and wouldn't be a mistake if you even called while played that way preflop.

      Best Regards.