[NL2-NL10] AQs 12.02.

    • HansTheGreat
      HansTheGreat
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.02.2010 Posts: 3,808
      PartyGaming - $0.10 NL - Holdem - 8 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      BB: $10.25
      UTG: $6.05
      UTG+1: $33.40
      MP: $2.85
      MP+1: $10.05
      Hero (CO): $10.44
      BTN: $13.35
      SB: $2.67

      SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero has Q:diamond: A:diamond:

      fold, UTG+1 raises to $0.80, fold, fold, Hero calls $0.80, fold, fold, fold

      Flop: ($1.75, 2 players) 8:club: A:spade: J:spade:
      UTG+1 bets $1.67, Hero calls $1.67

      Turn: ($5.09, 2 players) A:club:
      UTG+1 bets $30.93 and is all-in, Hero calls $7.97 and is all-in

      River: ($21.03, 2 players) 7:heart:

      UTG+1 shows A:heart: 8:heart: (Full House, Aces full of Eights) (PreFlop 30%, Flop 72%, Turn 88%)
      Hero mucks Q:diamond: A:diamond: (Three of a Kind, Aces) (PreFlop 70%, Flop 28%, Turn 13%)
      UTG+1 wins $0.00
      UTG+1 wins $20.03




      Note: he OR always with 8bb
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Sikac,

      Most likely he ain't bluffing here so far I would say that. We can't be sure either that he isn't shipping with full house here. Or do you think he is capable of bluffing? We would need ~38% equity here including rake and without it would be even bigger:

      Board: 8:club: A:spade: J:spade:  A:club:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    58.77%  49.00%   9.77% { JJ, 88, A5s+, ATo+ }
      UTG+1  41.23%  31.45%   9.77% { AdQd }

      The equity we get here which also includes worse Ax hands. But is he really opening so many Ax hands?

      Best Regards.