[NL2-NL10] 2.3% Equity

    • maheepsangari
      Joined: 08.06.2010 Posts: 2,163
      Had hardly any stats on the opponent.
      $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 8 Players

      BTN: $12.50 (250 bb)
      SB: $4.98 (99.6 bb)
      BB: $5.42 (108.4 bb)
      UTG+2: $5.07 (101.4 bb)
      MP1: $1.55 (31 bb)
      MP2: $2 (40 bb)
      MP3: $1.93 (38.6 bb)
      Hero (CO): $5 (100 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with 6 6
      4 folds, Hero raises to $0.20, 2 folds, BB raises to $0.37, Hero calls $0.17

      It was a min raise, he had a full stack, I was in position, He could have easily 3-Bet to save his blinds, I needed about 20% equity so I made a call.

      Flop: ($0.76) 2 5 A (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.55, BB calls $0.55

      I don't expect him to have a straight, he would be having overcards or he could have an A and could be setting a trap. It was one of two things, the A scared him or he's trapping me. So my plan was to bet/fold on the flop with my middle pair and if he called I'd give up on the turn and assume he's just setting a trap.

      Turn: ($1.86) 6 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $1.20, BB raises to $4.50 and is all-in, Hero calls $2.88 and is all-in

      I couldn't have hoped for anything better. His plan to trap me just went out the window. The card could complete a straight but I don't think he'd 3-Bet preflop with such low cards. Even if he was slow-playing me with Top Pair or two-pair I don't care anymore, I have to keep the action up. He could have two pair and the way I have been playing I could easily represent an A and trap him big time. I expect him to get aggressive on the turn because of the way the hand has been played so far( 3-Bet pre-flop and Check/Call flop, he does have something, a good ace or two pairs but I don't care with my set). He reacts just the way I predicted, its shoving time baby.

      River: ($10.02) 5 (2 players, 2 are all-in)

      Results: $10.02 pot ($0.42 rake)
      Final Board: 2 5 A 6 5
      BB showed A A and won $9.60 ($4.60 net)
      Hero showed 6 6 and lost (-$5 net)

      Thats what 2.3% equity on the turn feels like.
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello maheepsangari,

      Flop: Kind of close spot on the flop cause you most likely ain't making any PPs to fold there anyways. I would tend even to Check behind while he could also trap like that with Ax.

      As played
      Turn: Not much you can do here, just got unlucky. He could also even have Ax there.

      Best Regards.