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[NL2-NL10] NL2: 33 fold set

    • HughJazz82
      HughJazz82
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.04.2006 Posts: 1,227
      Hi,

      i haven't observed many hands from villain, however the 1st impression was he's solid. After the flop raise i have 1.83$ left, final pot would be ~4.70$, so i need 39% Eq to call/push. Given the analysis below, the fold seems fine, doesn't it?

      http://www.pokerstrategy.com
      Board: 7h6h3s
      Equity Win Tie
      BU 34.82% 34.17% 0.65% { 3h3c }
      SB 65.18% 64.53% 0.65% { 77-66, 76s, 54s }

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.02(BB) Replayer
      SB ($4.47) [ 14 / 10 / 20 WtSD (100h)]
      BB ($1.70)
      UTG ($1.51)
      UTG+1 ($5.36)
      CO ($1.18)
      Hero ($2.29)

      Dealt to Hero 3:heart: 3:club:

      fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.06, SB calls $0.05, BB calls $0.04

      FLOP ($0.18) 3:spade: 6:heart: 7:heart:

      SB checks, BB bets $0.08, Hero raises to $0.40, SB raises to $1.02, BB folds, Hero folds
  • 3 replies
    • Karl0zzz
      Karl0zzz
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.01.2010 Posts: 111
      Hey HughJazz!

      Why don't you include overpairs to villians range? I think that in lower limits people are happy to push AI with an overpair postflop.



      Board: 3:spade: 6:heart: 7:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    75.08%  74.43%   0.65% { 3h3c }
      MP3    24.92%  24.27%   0.65% { 66+, 76s, 54s }


      I think that folding is too weak in this spot, but I'm not an expert... :coolface:
    • ThatGuyMatt
      ThatGuyMatt
      Bronze
      Joined: 03.12.2010 Posts: 3,765
      You're raising with 33 to hit a set. But you fold when you a Set.

      Very weak imo.

      He could have many Overpairs, connectors, siuted cards, two pair. He could have the cards you explained, but for $0.60 more, you have to be callin this. You'll win more often than not.

      Out of interest, what boards would you have been happy to get it in on? :rolleyes:

      Thats my view anyway :]
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello HughJazz82,

      Why do you open-raise 3x? And if you do open such hands then I am never planning to fold there while people may easily even overplay overpair and of course 2pairs etc type of hands. I am going broke.

      Best Regards.