[NL2-NL10] NL10 TPTK + Nut Flush Draw

    • qMantas
      Joined: 26.10.2010 Posts: 202
      Poker Stars $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em - 4 players - View hand 1643716
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      BTN: $10.00
      Hero (SB): $10.45
      BB: $4.09
      CO: $11.60

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is SB with A :club: J :club:
      1 fold, BTN raises to $0.30, Hero calls $0.25, 1 fold

      Flop: ($0.70) T :club: 7 :club: J :diamond: (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $0.45, Hero raises to $1.50, BTN raises to $9.70 all in, Hero calls $8.20

      Turn: ($20.10) 8 :diamond: (2 players - 1 is all in)

      River: ($20.10) 9 :spade: (2 players - 1 is all in)

      BU 23/17 3b: 3.1 over 102 hands | Looks like regular.

      1. How I should play this hand ?
  • 2 replies
    • MancaMulas
      Joined: 12.03.2009 Posts: 4,491
      If you assume that you up against QQ+/77/TT/JJ only, you have 43% equity. You need to call $8.20 to a final pot of $19.20 (without 4.5% rake) and therefore have a break even equity of 42%. You have 43% against that range, so it's kind of close. 1% edge isn't that much. even if you think he plays like that with JT/J7/K:cQ/9:c8 you have 45%

      it's close, and coach always says that it's better to make a close fold than a close call, so if I estimated his range correctly, it would be a fold for me.

      during game play, with no time to make this calculations, I would definetly go broke on the flop. We won't flop much better than that.
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello qMantas,

      Those stats don't tell me much. What about WTSD/W$SD? Do you expect him to capable of going broke here with worse draw/Jx hand? If you go for Check/Raise then of course this means you are going for value. :)

      Best Regards.