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[NL2-NL10] Nl 10, Sh, QQ, monotone flop

    • Anger86
      Anger86
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.08.2008 Posts: 511
      $0.05/$0.1 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Hero (BB): $10.05 - VPIP: 16, PFR: 14, 3B: 4, AF: 3.8, Hands: 138914
      UTG: $23.04 - VPIP: 41, PFR: 22, 3B: 0, AF: 8.0, Hands: 27
      MP: $10.05 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 20, 3B: 8, AF: 1.0, Hands: 157
      CO: $7.75 - VPIP: 27, PFR: 22, 3B: 20, AF: 7.0, Hands: 37
      BTN: $20.07 - VPIP: 63, PFR: 9, 3B: 17, AF: 1.5, Hands: 32
      SB: $10.00 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 22, 3B: 0, AF: 4.0, Hands: 18

      Preflop: Hero is BB with Q, Q.
      MP2 raises to $0.30, 4 folds, Hero raises to $1.00, MP2 calls $0.70.

      Flop: ($2.05) 3, 4, T (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.75, MP2 raises to $22.04(All-In), Hero ?.

      Board: 3s 4s Ts
      Dead:

      equity win tie pots won pots tied
      Hand 0: 45.886% 44.79% 01.10% 12859 315.00 { QdQs }
      Hand 1: 54.114% 53.02% 01.10% 15221 315.00 { TT+, AsKs, AcKs, AdKs, AhKs, AsKc, AsKd, AsKh }


      I'm not sure, what kind of range yo give to this player.
      Maybe even some PP's like 33 and 44, too?
      I can't give hime a credit of only having QQ+, AK.

      Equiyt is not too bad, it turns out. So, I call.
  • 1 reply
    • luizsilveira
      luizsilveira
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.11.2010 Posts: 2,320
      Hi, Anger86!

      The range you put him is a nice starting point (it's a fairly strong range) but as he seems pretty loose (even if it's a tiny sample) I wouldn't be surprised to find hands like A :spade: T :diamond: or even A :spade: Q :club: in his range; maybe A :diamond: K :spade: etc. etc. And even if he has TT we still have quite some outs.

      So I'm snap calling there as well and I think we do have nice equity, especially considering the pot odds. Unfortunately it is a high variance spot but we can't really run away from those if it's +EV...