[NL2-NL10] NL 10, SH, QTs

    • Anger86
      Anger86
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.08.2008 Posts: 511
      $0.05/$0.1 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      BB: $10.15 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 9, 3B: 2, AF: 1.1, Hands: 110
      UTG: $10.65 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 18, 3B: 11, AF: 3.0, Hands: 71
      MP: $10.35 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 21, 3B: 4, AF: 1.4, Hands: 96
      Hero (CO): $13.33 - VPIP: 16, PFR: 14, 3B: 4, AF: 3.8, Hands: 139419
      BTN: $15.91 - VPIP: 69, PFR: 8, 3B: 4, AF: 4.6, Hands: 61
      SB: $5.00 - VPIP: 14, PFR: 11, 3B: 0, AF: NaN, Hands: 28

      Preflop: Hero is CO with Q, T.
      2 folds, Hero raises to $0.30, BU calls $0.30, SB folds, BB calls $0.20.

      Flop: ($0.95) 8, 4, 3 (3 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.65, BU folds, BB calls $0.65.

      Turn: ($2.25) 7 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $1.60, BB calls $1.60.

      River: ($5.45) 7 (2 players)
      BB bets $2.00, Hero calls $2.00.

      Final Pot: $9.45.Villain's stats:
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      I don't want to raise him on the River, because I'm afraid of slow-played sets, A :heart: x :heart:
      Villain is very passive, but I think, he would raise his set on the Flop anyway.
      Most likely.
      As he is so passive he might easily have called with some draws like A :heart: x :heart: and maybe even 9h8h, 9h7h, 99, TT, JJ, 6h5h, 87s, 56s. 99-JJ probably doesn't bet there.

      Board: 8s 4h 3h 7h 7d
      Dead:

      equity win tie pots won pots tied
      Hand 0: 66.667% 66.67% 00.00% 8 0.00 { AhJh, Ah9h, Ah8h, Ah6h, Ah5h, Ah2h, 9h8h, 9h7h, 87s, 65s }
      Hand 1: 33.333% 33.33% 00.00% 4 0.00 { QhTh }

      Looks like a call.

      Q: I'm not sure. Do i have to give a credit to these players (on average) a credit to flat 22-66, when they play SB/BB vs. LP?
      I know that in a long-term, that might be a loosing play, but they will mostly flat those hands there, right?
  • 2 replies
    • Anger86
      Anger86
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.08.2008 Posts: 511
      Originally posted by Anger86

      Board: 8s 4h 3h 7h 7d
      Dead:

      equity win tie pots won pots tied
      Hand 0: 66.667% 66.67% 00.00% 8 0.00 { AhJh, Ah9h, Ah8h, Ah6h, Ah5h, Ah2h, 9h8h, 9h7h, 87s, 65s }
      Hand 1: 33.333% 33.33% 00.00% 4 0.00 { QhTh }

      Looks like a call.
      I might be wrong with 65s. He could ck/call that one or fold on the Turn.
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Anger86,

      Most likely I would have folded on the river cause you don't beat much there but just 6x. :P If you think the guy could be overplaying such type of hands and be blocking then calling should be fine. Also add all sets into his range.

      Best Regards.