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[NL20-NL50] sh 25 playing set on turned third flush card

    • DeMarcohsp
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,975
      Poker Stars $25.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1647745
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      SB: $25.68 - VPIP: 72, PFR: 25, 3B: 0, AF: 1.2, Hands: 32
      Hero (UTG): $25.00 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 18, 3B: 6, AF: 5.1, Hands: 63169

      Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is UTG with 8 :spade: 8 :heart:
      Hero raises to $0.87, 1 fold, CO calls $0.87, 1 fold, SB calls $0.77, 1 fold

      Flop: ($2.86) 2 :spade: 5 :spade: 8 :diamond: (3 players)
      SB bets $1.36, Hero raises to $3.65, CO folds, SB calls $2.29

      Turn: ($10.16) K :spade: (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $5.95, SB folds

      I see my bet sizing as being quite pour in this hand.

      I think I should either bet higher to commit myself vs a check/shove from villain since I would net ~ 29% equity with my current bet and I only have ~22% vs a flush and I see no reason to think that villain would c/shove turn with any other hand.

      Or I should bet smaller with the intent of b/folding but then I don't think I can assume that villain would never try to bluff me and I would still go with my hand.

      Should I just bet bigger and make it easier for me?
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343

      with set and flushdraw you´re pot committed on the turn, so I think 6$ bet for value is fine and I would call the shove (if he has smt like 6s7s you also have your spade outs, but I personally think he may also get all-in a lot worse hands)

      Best regards,