[NL2-NL10] NL 10, SH, AQ, raised River, 4:1 call?

    • Anger86
      Anger86
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.08.2008 Posts: 511
      Poker Stars $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players

      UTG: $6.27 - VPIP: 16, PFR: 14, 3B: 3, AF: 1.0, Hands: 98
      CO: $11.85 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 18, 3B: 2, AF: 6.3, Hands: 228
      BTN: $17.53 - VPIP: 33, PFR: 24, 3B: 6, AF: 7.0, Hands: 55
      Hero (SB): $10.05 - VPIP: 16, PFR: 14, 3B: 4, AF: 3.9, Hands: 146701
      BB: $25.57 - VPIP: 16, PFR: 12, 3B: 15, AF: 6.0, Hands: 50

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is SB with A :diamond: Q :spade:
      1 fold, CO raises to $0.35, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.30, 1 fold

      Flop: ($0.80) A :spade: 3 :club: 8 :diamond: (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO checks

      Turn: ($0.80) 2 :club: (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.60, CO calls $0.60

      River: ($2.00) K :spade: (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.75, CO raises to $3.50, Hero ?


      Flop, when he checks back I don't think he has an Ace ever, except something like A9 and lower and most mid-pairs make sense.

      So, turn I bet for value Vs any mid or low ace, KK-TT.

      River doesn't make sense, because Villain can't have AK. I don't think A2s, too.
      Only strong hand in his range would be KK.

      4:1 odds, when thinking that he can only have 3 combos of KK and the other stuff is a bluff.
      Should I call?

      Edit Villain's stats:
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  • 3 replies
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Anger86,

      Well, the problem here is that if he really wanted to bluff at all then why didn't he do that on the flop with just a basic CB? :) Therefore I would rather make a bit smaller Bet on the river and give him also chance to call with a lot worse and I would plan to Bet/Fold it.

      Best Regards.
    • Anger86
      Anger86
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.08.2008 Posts: 511
      Originally posted by veriz
      Hello Anger86,

      Well, the problem here is that if he really wanted to bluff at all then why didn't he do that on the flop with just a basic CB? :) Therefore I would rather make a bit smaller Bet on the river and give him also chance to call with a lot worse and I would plan to Bet/Fold it.

      Best Regards.
      Blocking bet. We have $ 2.00 on the River. How about 1/4 PSB = $ 0.50.
      So he could call with QQ-TT, A9-AJ.
      Sizing and range OK?
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      1/2 pot size should do perfectly well there. :) 50 cents is too small.