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[NL2-NL10] NL2 - FR - 99 - overpair vs MP1's range

    • cpers
      Joined: 17.04.2011 Posts: 566
      PartyGaming - $0.02 NL - Holdem - 8 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      UTG: $2.20
      UTG+1: $4.11
      MP: $3.32
      MP+1: $2.08
      CO: $2.16
      Hero (BTN): $2.02
      SB: $2.00
      BB: $0.71

      SB posts SB $0.01, BB posts BB $0.02

      Pre Flop: ($0.03) Hero has 9:club: 9:spade:

      fold, UTG+1 raises to $0.08, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls $0.08, fold ???, fold

      Flop: ($0.19, 2 players) 3:spade: 6:heart: 7:club:
      UTG+1 bets $0.10, Hero calls $0.10

      Turn: ($0.39, 2 players) 3:diamond:
      UTG+1 bets $0.20, Hero calls $0.20

      River: ($0.79, 2 players) 8:diamond:
      UTG+1 bets $0.50, fold ???

      UTG+1 wins $0.76


      I call preflop for set value.

      FLOP: The board has straight completes, but I doubt he'd be raising with 54. So since I'm ahead against his range, what's the best line if I want to continue here? I choose to call because I don't want to play big pot with just pocket 9s. Is it better to raise here? I have position, so I could check behind on later streets if he checks.

      RIVER: Can I call his bets? I only need 28%, but he's unknown and bet bet bet(a little bit bigger) on all street. So I think he's more on overpair (may be a set) than broadways. So I fold, bad fold?

      Board: 3:spade: 6:heart: 7:club:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP1    45.39%  44.58%   0.81% { TT+, AJs+, KQs, AJo+, KQo }
      BU     54.61%  53.81%   0.81% { 9s9c }

  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343

      I think pf call is very standard. Even if you give him very strong range you can call for set value.

      I would prefer myself raise/folding flop to 0.26$. He would cbet that board 100% of his opening range and I think it makes your hand easier to play, also I don´t think he would shove there with worse hands than yours.

      Turn you likely have to call again and I would fold river, doubt he would go 3-barrel bluff with overcards,

      best regards,