This site uses cookies to improve your browsing experience. By continuing to browse the website, you accept such cookies. For more details and to change your settings, see our Cookie Policy and Privacy Policy. Close

[NL2-NL10] NL 10, SH, JJ, value betting light on River IP

    • Anger86
      Anger86
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.08.2008 Posts: 511
      Poker Stars $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players

      MP: $9.36 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 7, 3B: 5, AF: 2.6, Hands: 710
      CO: $7.70 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 11, 3B: 0, AF: 1.0, Hands: 38
      Hero (BTN): $29.07 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 14, 3B: 4, AF: 3.9, Hands: 150661
      SB: $4.05 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 13, 3B: 0, AF: 2.0, Hands: 47
      BB: $4.00 - VPIP: 27, PFR: 24, 3B: 15, AF: 3.6, Hands: 527
      UTG: $8.31 - VPIP: 28, PFR: 22, 3B: 10, AF: 5.0, Hands: 32

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is BTN with J :heart: J :diamond:
      UTG raises to $0.40, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.40, 2 folds

      Flop: ($0.95) 6 :spade: 3 :diamond: 6 :club: (2 players)
      UTG bets $0.50, Hero calls $0.50

      Turn: ($1.95) 3 :spade: (2 players)
      UTG bets $1.00, Hero calls $1

      River: ($3.95) 5 :spade: (2 players)
      UTG checks, Hero bets $1.90, UTG calls $1.90

      Flop and turn I think, it's possible for AA-88 Villain is betting for value.
      I also add AK, AQ, AJ in his bluffing range, let's say about 50%.

      River:
      I think, he will still value bet AA-KK for value on the river vs. mid pairs.
      But QQ-88 could be a ckeck/call a reasonable bet.
      Also AK-AJ [50%] would fold out.

      I think my bet should be pretty much + EV.

      Is it OK?
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Anger86,

      If he has been opening a lot of hands we could sometimes even consider 3betting for value. But of course vs UTG and if he had a rather tight image from there should be fine to play it this way as well.

      Best Regards.