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[NL20-NL50] NLSH25 Call down with pair on low board

    • summermonkey
      Joined: 01.12.2009 Posts: 483
      SB: $14.22 (56.9 bb)
      BB: $27.60 (110.4 bb)
      UTG: $45.14 (180.6 bb)
      MP: $52.99 (212 bb)
      CO: $22.27 (89.1 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $24.75 (99 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with 5:club: 5:diamond:
      UTG raises to $0.75, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.75, 2 folds

      Flop: ($1.85) 4:spade: 3:heart: 2:diamond: (2 players)
      UTG bets $1.25, Hero calls $1.25

      Turn: ($4.35) Q:diamond: (2 players)
      UTG bets $3.25, Hero calls $3.25

      River: ($10.85) Q:club: (2 players)
      UTG bets $8.75, Hero calls $8.75

      I was thinking his range here was quite wide. From A2-4 and broadways or overcards which I beat, to middling pockets and any Q. However, his AF was 9.0 and I thought this entire range would bet bet bet. The big river bet also looked like he was not going for showdown value.
  • 2 replies
    • jachis
      Joined: 07.04.2008 Posts: 745
      If villain is some aggro loose fish who just bet/bet/bet with any hand, then I might be okay with it. Not sure if AF 9 is even sustainable for a decent sample.

      Against a reg I think 55 is to weak for blufftaching here. Villain is opening from UTG and the flop is bad for cbeting and the river card isnt good barrel card either. Its actually good when he has a value hand as he can be more sure you dont have Qx.
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343

      your range there is most likely pp-s, so I think good players would go 3 streets for value with TT+. I think he would b/f there overpairs, so I would consider either shoving or folding on the river. You´re risking only 10$ more to win very big pot and you´re still ahead his air, but also I think he may b/f hands that goes there for value, like TT/JJ, KK, AA and wuld only b/c with 22-44, KQ, AQ and likely QJs.

      board: 432QQ
      Hand Equity Wins Ties
      55 51.87% 219,888 0
      TT-AA, AT-AK, KQ, QJs, KdJd 48.13% 204,048 0

      So although call is also fine I think shove might be little better if you´re continuing with your hand.

      also included sets, but that doesn´t change your equity that much:
      board: 432QQ
      Hand Equity Wins Ties
      55 47.27% 219,960 4,464
      TT-AA, AT-AK, KQ, QJs, KdJd, 22-55 52.73% 245,592 4,464

      best regards,