[NL2-NL10] NL16 Bottom set - Turn play

    • XandreW36
      XandreW36
      Platinum
      Joined: 05.09.2010 Posts: 197
      Poker Stars $16.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1672249
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      Hero (BTN): $16.00 - VPIP: 23, PFR: 18, 3B: 7, AF: 3.1, Hands: 99775
      SB: $28.85 - VPIP: 29, PFR: 18, 3B: 5, AF: 1.6, Hands: 7705
      BB: $21.91 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 14, 3B: 5, AF: 1.9, Hands: 7084
      UTG: $6.84 - VPIP: 39, PFR: 14, 3B: 0, AF: 1.0, Hands: 59
      MP: $22.42 - VPIP: 24, PFR: 14, 3B: 2, AF: 7.7, Hands: 135
      CO: $16.00 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 11, 3B: 2, AF: 2.8, Hands: 998

      Pre Flop: ($0.24) Hero is BTN with 3 :club: 3 :diamond:
      1 fold, MP raises to $0.32, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.32, 1 fold, BB calls $0.16

      Flop: ($1.04) 3 :heart: A :heart: 4 :heart: (3 players)
      BB bets $0.74, MP folds, Hero calls $0.74

      Turn: ($2.52) 8 :diamond: (2 players)
      BB bets $1.80, Hero raises to $6, BB raises to $20.41, Hero calls $8.94 all in

      River: ($32.40) K :club: (2 players - 1 is all in)

      In hand I was thinking about protecting from :heart: , but now I see there should not be so many draws in his range...
      For betting Turn, his range could be something like this:?

      Board: A:heart: 3:heart: 4:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    53.78%  52.50%   1.28% { 4d4s, 4d4c, 4s4c, A4s-A3s, KhQh, QhJh, JhTh, Th9h, 9h8h, 8h7h, 7h6h, 6h5h, AsQh, AcQh, AcJh }
      MP3    46.22%  44.94%   1.28% { 33 }


      So our best line would be to call Flop and Turn, fold/ x behind on :heart: ?
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello XandreW36,

      If you planning to play for the stacks anyways then rather raise it right on the flop and play for the stacks. When you raise on the turn it usually will look a lot stronger and he will fold a lot of hands.

      Best Regards.