[NL2-NL10] nl2 fr overpair

    • roopopper
      Joined: 31.12.2010 Posts: 4,289
      Hello coach

      just played this hand and have a question about it.. I called his shove even though I knew I was probably behind, as surely if a player like this set mines me then over the long term his odds are terrible and I will eventually make a profit from him? Have left his cards showing to demonstrate what I mean about set mining.
      is my thinking way off here?

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.02(BB) Replayer
      SB ($1.15)
      BB ($1.99)
      UTG ($1.98)
      UTG+1 ($0.65)
      UTG+2 ($2)
      MP1 ($2.02)
      MP2 ($2)
      Hero ($0.86)
      BTN ($0.67)

      Dealt to Hero J:heart: J:diamond:

      fold, fold, fold, MP1 calls $0.02, fold, Hero raises to $0.08, fold, fold, fold, MP1 calls $0.06

      FLOP ($0.19) 3:heart: 8:club: 7:club:

      MP1 checks, Hero bets $0.14, MP1 calls $0.14

      TURN ($0.47) 3:heart: 8:club: 7:club: 5:diamond:

      MP1 checks, Hero bets $0.33, MP1 raises to $1.08, Hero calls $0.31 (AI)

      RIVER ($1.75) 3:heart: 8:club: 7:club: 5:diamond: 4:heart:

      MP1 shows 5:heart: 5:spade:
      (Pre 19%, Flop 11.6%, Turn 95.5%)

      Hero shows J:heart: J:diamond:
      (Pre 81%, Flop 88.4%, Turn 4.5%)

      MP1 wins $1.67
  • 1 reply
    • Gerv
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678

      You should focus more on the Turn like what do you still beat while getting roughly 4.5:1. if you beat enough then we should bet/call here

      What you can do on 2NL/5NL is just raise bigger preflop because that way you are guaranteeing yourself that he cannot make a profit as he has to call more preflop to see a flop

      Best regards,