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[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL25, 99 turned set, ugly river

    • TetraQuark
      TetraQuark
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.05.2008 Posts: 1,521
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.1/$0.25 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Known players:
      SB:
      $17.03
      BB:
      $12.11
      MP2 (Hero):
      $28.99
      MP3:
      $22.99
      CO:
      $7.94
      BU:
      $27.97


      Preflop: Hero is MP2 with 9, 9.
      Hero raises to $0.75, MP3 calls $0.75, 4 folds, 3 folds, 2 folds, BB folds.

      Flop: ($1.85) 7, K, 8 (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.25, MP3 calls $1.25.

      Turn: ($4.35) 9 (2 players)
      Hero bets $3.25, MP3 calls $3.25.

      River: ($10.85) J (2 players)
      Hero checks, MP3 bets $5.00, Hero calls $5.00.

      Final Pot: $20.85.

      Villain is 19/9, AF 0.8, AF R 4.0, AFq R 44%(9).

      Almost identical situation as previous hand just that the villain is way tighter.
      On river I prolly get no value from worse but he is very aggro on river so I c to induce, I need 25% on river.
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Hi,

      I would personally prefer b/f there 8$. He would very likely call you down with Kx hands that he would check back on the river and he may also have there two pair combos. He may bluff with his missed flushdraws, but getting value set is to me better option than going for pot control

      best regards,