[NL2-NL10] Nl10 Sh - Kk

    • numbnutter
      numbnutter
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.09.2011 Posts: 139
      Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      Hero (BTN): $18.43 (184.3 bb)
      SB: $19.09 (190.9 bb)
      BB: $17.87 (178.7 bb)
      UTG: $9.31 (93.1 bb)
      MP: $8.75 (87.5 bb)
      CO: $9.47 (94.7 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with K K
      UTG raises to $0.30, 2 folds, Hero raises to $1, 2 folds, UTG calls $0.70

      Flop: ($2.15) 3 3 Q (2 players)
      UTG checks, Hero bets $1.50, UTG raises to $3, Hero calls $1.50

      Turn: ($8.15) 6 (2 players)
      UTG bets $5.31, Hero calls $5.31

      River: ($18.77) 2 (2 players)

      Results: $18.77 pot ($0.84 rake)
      Final Board: 3 3 Q 6 2
      Hero showed K K and lost (-$9.31 net)
      UTG showed 3 A and won $17.93 ($8.62 net)


      Villain played 77/39 over 62 hands with a ft3bet of 0% (5 hands). AF 0.86.

      Can we get away here? He doesn't have too many 3's even in such a wide range. Even if we give him a value range of something like the following after his raise:


      Board: 3:heart: Q:spade: 3:club:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    54.82%  54.81%   0.01% { KdKc }
      MP3    45.18%  45.17%   0.01% { QQ, AQs, A3s, KQs, AQo, A3o, KQo }


      ...we're still slightly ahead. And this doesn't even include any bluffs.
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