[NL2-NL10] nl10 sh kk vs CS

    • mawaykid
      mawaykid
      Bronze
      Joined: 28.11.2009 Posts: 2,773
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      SB ($18.93)
      Hero ($10)
      UTG ($3.42)
      UTG+1 ($6.19) 42/2/0.8 ~90h
      CO ($10.35)
      BTN ($5.30)

      Dealt to Hero K:heart: K:club:

      fold, UTG+1 calls $0.10, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.50, UTG+1 calls $0.40

      FLOP ($1.05) Q:club: Q:spade: T:spade:

      Hero bets $0.70, UTG+1 calls $0.70

      TURN ($2.45) Q:club: Q:spade: T:spade: 8:heart:

      Hero bets $1.85, UTG+1 calls $1.85

      RIVER ($6.15) Q:club: Q:spade: T:spade: 8:heart: A:heart:

      Hero checks, UTG+1 bets $2.70, Hero folds

      Flop he call with FD, Tx, and str8draws
      Turn the same, but now complet J9
      Rive we only extract from Tx and nut FD hit TP, some str8draw have Ax and others complet KJ,J9
      he have 4.5 of Af on river, 50%(18) (0.0/0.8/4.5) but in this casa we only bet a missed fd w/o Ace.
  • 4 replies
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello mawaykid,

      The problem on river is that he may easily have a lot of FD type of hands with the A. So I don't mind your play at all and seems to be fine.

      Best Regards.
    • mawaykid
      mawaykid
      Bronze
      Joined: 28.11.2009 Posts: 2,773
      ty.

      But if the river is a 2 of cubs what is our line ? Bet again, seems too thin, c/c seems good vs his aggresion river, right? or c/f?
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      On blank river we have 2 options
      1) Valuebet 1/3 pot size to get called by TX
      2) C/c to catch busted draws

      I think this guy never folds a TX to a small bet. You need to weigh the EV of both options by thinking of how often he has TX vs QX vs busted draws. I'm not going to bother calculating the range of this VPIP 42 guy but I think he should have a lot of busted straight and flush draws, much more than the number of TX hands he can have.
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Originally posted by mawaykid
      ty.

      But if the river is a 2 of cubs what is our line ? Bet again, seems too thin, c/c seems good vs his aggresion river, right? or c/f?
      Either way we could Bet again and vs loose opponent most likely I would have done. :) We can easily get value from worse. Or another possibility would be to Check/Call vs missed FD.