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[NL20-NL50] NL 25 top 2 vs river shove

    • cordaci
      cordaci
      Black
      Joined: 11.08.2011 Posts: 306
      Party Poker $25.00 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players - View hand 1685072
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      BTN: $21.72 - VPIP: 61, PFR: 33, 3B: 16, AF: 2.8, Hands: 85
      Hero (SB): $27.74 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 13, 3B: 4, AF: 2.5, Hands: 712211
      BB: $31.22 - VPIP: 16, PFR: 11, 3B: 3, AF: 1.7, Hands: 1117
      UTG: $28.60 - VPIP: 27, PFR: 16, 3B: 0, AF: 1.0, Hands: 51
      CO: $5.70 - VPIP: 13, PFR: 11, 3B: 6, AF: 5.6, Hands: 541

      Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is SB with K :spade: A :club:
      2 folds, BTN calls $0.25, Hero raises to $1, BB calls $0.75, BTN calls $0.75

      Flop: ($3.00) A :diamond: 8 :heart: J :club: (3 players)
      Hero bets $2.13, BB calls $2.13, BTN folds

      Turn: ($7.26) K :heart: (2 players)
      Hero bets $5.17, BB calls $5.17

      River: ($17.60) J :spade: (2 players)
      Hero bets $5.00, BB raises to $22.92, Hero ?
  • 3 replies
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,909
      Why do you bet so small on the river? Do you think his range is so elastic? It's a 3rd barrel, only KQ and KTs in his range that COULD call but probably wouldn't against 3 barrels because you look like Ax. When you look like Ax and most other Ax hands just bet bigger to make a split costly. I'd bet about $9 and fold to shove because he doesn't bluff there ever.

      Btw, are those your SH stats or combined with FR?
    • cordaci
      cordaci
      Black
      Joined: 11.08.2011 Posts: 306
      yep, the stats since i started at nl 2 and also PLO stats i think, i`m 21/17 or smthing like that now
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello cordaci,

      Either way it's a block-bet/Fold on the river anyways. But if you take a rather value-bet on the river then you should bet it a bit bigger.

      We of course can't Call on the river, we don't beat anything and doubt that he is bluffing.

      Best Regards.