[NL20-NL50] [SH] nl20 AJo squeeze

    • hedgerocker
      Joined: 22.09.2010 Posts: 168
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Graj rękę

      $0.1/$0.2 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Known players:
      SB (Hero):

      Preflop: Hero is SB with J, A.
      2 folds, CO raises to $0.60, BU calls $0.60, Hero raises to $2.60, 2 folds, BU calls $2.00.

      Flop: ($6) T, 7, K (2 players)
      Hero bets $3.00, BU calls $3.00.

      Turn: ($12) Q (2 players)
      Hero bets $6.00, BU raises to $15.86(All-In), Hero calls $9.86.

      River: ($43.72) K (2 players)

      Final Pot: $43.72.

      CO LAG 28/25/3.2/669 hands
      BU TAG 21/15/2.7/(call open BU 18%)/ft3bet 67% /339 hands

      Well, just perfect spot to squeeze - LAG opens from CO and TAG calls on BU.

      Hmm..There is a problem, because I've got 4 options here - cbet/fold flop and x/fold blank turn which I choose. 2nd is x/push flop (Highest fold equity + some outs), and double barreling on any card or just x/fold?. Which is the best I don't know?
      I put him on a range (1-ft3b%=1-0,67%=0,33%x18%(BU co) = 6% -2% he is 4betting (AK,KK+)=4% = { QQ-TT, AQs, KQs, QJs, AQo, KQo }

      Board: Th 7s Kc

      equity win tie pots won pots tied
      Hand 0: 75.441% 74.46% 00.98% 344994 4540.50 { QQ-TT, AQs, KQs, QJs, AQo, KQo }
      Hand 1: 24.559% 23.58% 00.98% 109245 4540.50 { AJo }

      I counted on fold equity, I just needed 33% FE, and this is K high board in 3bet pot so I was representing here AK and AA beacuse KK-JJ probably i'm not betting.
      Thanks in advance.
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343

      depends on the game flow I think mostly b/f flop and c/f turn would be better options unless you hit Q or A /then I would b/c, with Jx I think c/c would also be fine.

      He may float you sometimes with 88 or AQ hands that he would going to fold on the turn, but a lot of times once he calls on the flop he would not fold on blank turn

      best regards,