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[NL2-NL10] A5c

    • cozacu
      Joined: 14.02.2010 Posts: 1,379
      Hand converted with online hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.05/$0.1 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Known players:
      BB (Hero):

      Preflop: Hero is BB with 5, A.
      4 folds, SB raises to $0.30, Hero calls $0.20.

      Flop: ($0.6) T, 6, 2 (2 players)
      SB bets $0.40, Hero raises to $1.20, SB raises to $3.60, Hero raises to $9.70, SB calls $6.10.

      Turn: ($20) 8 (2 players)

      River: ($20) 3 (2 players)

      Final Pot: $20.

      villain 11/11 10hands

      My question here is if the shove was the best possible play?
      I know that in an ideal situation where he`s got something like JJ i`ve got only 45% eq but does the fold eq that i generate with my shove compensate for at least 5%(in this scenario where he 3x`s my raise i know the fold eq is smaller but i still think he`s capabile of folding).

      What about where he just min`raises my raise?
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello cozacu,

      Without even knowing the opponent I am not a huge fan of going broke in those spots actually. Of course we have a strong hand but practically the case here is that it's just a flip. We can't even be sure if we have fold equity vs his 3bet on the flop, it's rather that he is committed there whatever he went to 3bet with if he has a made hand.

      We would need ~41% equity and for example against his go-broke range:

      Board: T:club: 6:heart: 2:club:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    60.31%  60.31%   0.00% { TT+, 66, 22, ATs, KTs, ATo, KTo }
      UTG+1  39.69%  39.69%   0.00% { Ac5c }

      We don't get it. :( Also I even included some Tx hands. So as you see at the best a flip. :P Unless we expect him to gamble and go even broke with worse draws then it's a snap-broke of course. Although we don't have that information on the opponent. :(

      Best Regards.