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[NL2-NL10] NL4 FR KQs

    • JohnDoe1313
      Joined: 04.01.2011 Posts: 5,196
      Party, $0.02/$0.04 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      MP1: $3.94 (98.5 bb)
      SB: $1.77 (44.3 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $1.96 (49 bb)
      MP3: $1.71 (42.8 bb) - VPIP: 80, PFR: 4, 3B: 0, AF: 1.6, Hands: 198, Donkbet flop: 35 (20)
      UTG+1: $3.71 (92.8 bb)
      UTG+2: $3.42 (85.5 bb)
      BB: $4 (100 bb)
      MP2: $5.69 (142.3 bb)
      CO: $6.58 (164.5 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with Q K
      4 folds, MP3 calls $0.04, CO folds, Hero raises to $0.20, 2 folds, MP3 calls $0.16

      Flop: ($0.46) 2 J 2 (2 players)
      MP3 bets $0.28, Hero ?

      Hey. I've thought about this spot and come up with an idea going all in. MP3 has $1,23 left on flop so I need 45% equity for push. Even though I think there is no way to generate fold equity against him, this is how I imagine his "nuts" range

      Board: 2:diamond: J:club: 2:club:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      SB     54.67%  54.61%   0.06% { QQ-JJ, 22, AJs, A2s, KJs, QJs, J5s+, AJo, A2o, KJo, QJo, J8o+ }
      BB     45.33%  45.27%   0.06% { KcQc }

      Also sometimes he could have some weaker stuff, like even worse Jx, pocket pairs or flush draw. What do you think? Thanks
  • 1 reply
    • Gerv
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678

      Sometimes he checks 2x and for sure slowplays 22. That said your equity increases as a result of him donking. That said you you need to shove $1.7 here almost always. There is like 76cents up for grabs if he decides to fold but you want to get it in on the Flop rather than the Turn with your monsterdraw

      Best regards,