[NL20-NL50] NL50 2nd nuts on the river getting 3bet shoved

    • HELLutek
      HELLutek
      Bronze
      Joined: 19.07.2008 Posts: 739
      $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Holdem
      6 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

      Stacks:
      UTG ($98.25)
      UTG+1 ($50)
      CO ($73.61)
      Hero (BTN) ($56.73)
      SB ($50)
      BB ($54.95)

      Pre-Flop: ($0.75, 6 players) Hero is BTN 9 10
      3 folds, Hero raises to $1, SB calls $0.75, BB calls $0.50

      Flop: Q 6 K ($3, 3 players)
      SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $2, SB calls $2, BB folds

      Turn: 4 ($7, 2 players)
      SB checks, Hero checks

      River: J ($7, 2 players)
      SB bets $4, Hero raises to $14, SB goes all-in $43, Hero folds

      Final Pot: $35

      SB wins $99.25 (net +$49.25)

      Hero lost $17
      BB lost $1


      300 hands, 19/17, 86 Fold to steal, 37/14/21 flop/turn/river aggresion frequencies.
      I remember him thinking long on the flop.
      He wasn't bluffing, right? Could he do that with set / top2?
  • 4 replies
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Hi,

      problem folding to overbet shove on the river is that he would likely take the same line often with 66 and maybe with KQ against that you should call:

      board: KQ6J4
      Hand Equity Wins Ties
      T9 51.48% 202,092 648
      AT, 66, KQ 48.52% 190,476 648

      I´m fine raise/folding all my two pairs and even maybe JJ, but straight just seems too good especially if he would most likely should c/f flop with AT

      Best regards,
    • HELLutek
      HELLutek
      Bronze
      Joined: 19.07.2008 Posts: 739
      Why would villain shove KQ or 66? He's not getting called by worse.
    • KillerFishes
      KillerFishes
      Bronze
      Joined: 11.07.2010 Posts: 2,313
      Hi HELLutek,

      I can't imagine folding in this spot.

      Cya
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Originally posted by HELLutek
      Why would villain shove KQ or 66? He's not getting called by worse.
      If you´re willing to fold there second nuts then it is very easy shove, since you basically can only call AT that you might easily barrel on the turn.
      I don´t know why people shove there sets or top two pair, easily because there are so few hands that can beat them and if they ever want to turn their one pair hands into bluff then they might also shove with top of their range.