[NL2-NL10] Nl4 KJ

    • TheWinnerTakesItAll
      TheWinnerTakesItAll
      Bronze
      Joined: 28.01.2012 Posts: 1,187
      Opponent stats 33/0 after 33 hands. If I had AK here, should I go all-in?

      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.02/$0.04 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)

      Known players:
      MP2:
      $4.17
      MP3:
      $4.63
      CO:
      $5.81
      BU (Hero):
      $4.04
      SB:
      $4.00
      BB:
      $2.00
      UTG1:
      $4.10
      UTG2:
      $4.08
      MP1:
      $4.42


      Preflop: Hero is BU with K, J.
      4 folds, MP3 calls $0.04, CO folds, Hero raises to $0.20, 2 folds, MP3 calls $0.16.

      Flop: ($0.46) 2, K, 3 (2 players)
      MP3 checks, Hero bets $0.32, MP3 raises to $1.40, Hero folds, MP3 gets uncalled bet back.

      Final Pot: $0.78.
  • 2 replies
    • rogervieri
      rogervieri
      Bronze
      Joined: 09.12.2010 Posts: 1,034
      Villain range with 33/0 stats:
      44+, A2s+, K4s+, Q8s+, J9s+, A2o+, K7o+, Q9o+, JTo

      Equity preflop:

      44+, A2s+, K4s+, Q8s+, J9s+, A2o+, K7o+, Q9o+, JTo: 51.940%
      KJo: 48.060%

      Equity postflop: (board 2 :spade: K :club: 3 :diamond: )

      44+, A2s+, K4s+, Q8s+, J9s+, A2o+, K7o+, Q9o+, JTo: 19.427%
      KJo: 80.573%

      Villain's range that has us beat:
      KK, 33-22, AKs, KQs, K3s-K2s, AKo, KQo, K3o-K2o: 85.768%

      How likely are these hands?
      I would rather put villain on this range:
      TT-22, KJs-K2s, KJo-K2o: 26.100%

      I guess against such a player, you could even go broke with this hand (KJo), although it's a bit marginal....with AK, it would be 100% CALL/BROKE
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello TheWinnerTakesItAll,

      Well, I wouldn't go all-in with AK cause he will have tough time to continue with a lot worse. Rather would keep his range wide and just Call his raise. :) But as played not much to comment.

      Best Regards.