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[NL2-NL10] KKKK fr extracting value ?

    • roopopper
      Joined: 31.12.2010 Posts: 4,289
      Hello Coach :)

      I have started raising a lot higher on Nl2 preflop as there are so many callers with any two suited hands and pocket pairs

      I read that pp's only hit a set 12% of the time so my thinking is with 6bb raise I can profitably stack off my overpairs?

      12 * .80 = $9.60

      4bb's = .08 = 88*.08= $7.04

      i'm going to lose in the long term?

      So raising

      6bb's = 88*.12 = $10.56

      $10.56 - $9.60 = .96 cents profit long term :)

      and is my hand :)

      I know I have a monster hand here, but whats the best way to play to get max value from such a hand ?

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.02(BB) Replayer
      SB ($2.45)
      BB ($2.61)
      UTG ($4.11)
      Hero ($0.71)
      UTG+2 ($2)
      MP1 ($1.73)
      MP2 ($2.60)
      CO ($3.65)
      BTN ($1.25)

      Dealt to Hero K:diamond: A:club:

      fold, Hero raises to $0.12, fold, fold, MP2 calls $0.12, fold, fold, fold, fold

      FLOP ($0.27) K:club: K:heart: K:spade:

      Hero checks, MP2 bets $0.13, Hero calls $0.13

      TURN ($0.53) K:club: K:heart: K:spade: 4:diamond:

      Hero checks, MP2 checks

      RIVER ($0.53) K:club: K:heart: K:spade: 4:diamond: 9:heart:

      Hero bets $0.46 (AI), MP2 calls $0.46
  • 1 reply
    • Gerv
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Hello Roobot :D ,

      You create a SPR 3 with this raising size which is ideal as you can bet Flop and shove under potsized on the Turn

      I think you have to bet small on Flop/Turn/River like 1/3rd pot each to keep his weak hands in. I just think he only bets once (the Flop) when you check to him and then checks back the Turn & River (positional advantage)

      I think people don't make profit with pocketpairs versus you because they tend to overplay they pairs as well whenever they do not hit a set. Also I think mathwise they dont make profit versus you when you raise 4x

      If they play 'Fit/fold'' they give up 4bb around 88% of the time and 12% of the time they have to win your stack (35.5bb).

      So it is 12%*35.5 - (88%*4)
      4.26 - 3.52 = +.74bb

      That is more or less their max profit. Now if they 1) overplay PPs in other situations, 2) peel Flop and then fold Turn, 3) You don't have anything to stack off with, their EV just goes down

      Also I didn't calculated rake impact

      Best regards,