[NL2-NL10] Nl4Sh Tt

    • muel294
      muel294
      Bronze
      Joined: 06.06.2009 Posts: 1,225
      Pre: Villain is obviously LAG, should I just 4b/broke here? Didn't like stacking off pre for 100bb this light. Is this something I'm going to have to get used to doing SH?

      Flop: Raise/broke seems overplayed, can villain call with worse here? Raise/fold is way too spewy IMO given his c-bet sizing. Going for a pot control line and folding to further aggression seemed the best way to me at the time.

      villain's cbet stat was 100% (18/18)
      If I enter villain's 3b stat in the equilator it would be:
      66+,A7s+,A5s,K9s+,Q9s+,JTs,ATo+,KTo+,QJo
      plus some suited connectors or something : 67s+

      and I would assume he's going to c-bet almost all, if not all of this range.

      Turn: Doesnt change much unless villain has 3b 33, so when moves all-in on the turn I tend to think it is not a bluff, plus my hand is a bluff catcher.
      if we add some TP and suited connectors in his turn range then I am still behind in terms of equity:

      Board: 5:diamond: 9:spade: 7:heart:  3:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    58.61%  57.81%   0.81% { JJ+, 66, TdTc, 9d9h, 9d9c, 9h9c, 7d7s, 7d7c, 7s7c, AhKh, AhQh, KhQh, AhJh, KhJh, QhJh, Ad9d, Ah9h, Ac9c, Kd9d, Kh9h, Kc9c, Qd9d, Qh9h, Qc9c, Td9d, Tc9c, Ah8h, 9d8d, 9h8h, 9c8c, 7d6d, 7s6s, 7c6c, Ah5h }
      UTG+1  41.39%  40.58%   0.81% { ThTs }


      If I take those hands out, then I think it is a clear fold:
      FONT=courier new]
      Board: 5:diamond: 9:spade: 7:heart:  3:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    64.06%  63.13%   0.93% { JJ+, 66, TdTc, 9d9h, 9d9c, 9h9c, 7d7s, 7d7c, 7s7c, AhKh, AhQh, KhQh, AhJh, KhJh, QhJh, Ad9d, Ah9h, Ac9c, Kd9d, Kh9h, Kc9c, Qd9d, Qh9h, Qc9c, Ah8h, Ah5h }
      UTG+1  35.94%  35.02%   0.93% { ThTs }
      [/FONT]


      Maths:
      Also, what is the correct E* calc here?

      would it be: 3.07/(5.41+3.07) = E* x 100

      or

      3.07/5.41 = E* x 100

      888 Poker - $0.04 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      CO: $4.61
      Hero (BTN): $10.42
      SB: $0.79
      BB: $4.21 43/20/4/16/34/164
      UTG: $4.43
      MP: $1.05

      SB posts SB $0.02, BB posts BB $0.04, MP posts DB $0.04

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.10) Hero has T:spade: T:heart:

      fold, MP checks, fold, Hero raises to $0.20, fold, BB raises to $0.36, fold, Hero calls $0.16

      Flop: ($0.78, 2 players) 5:diamond: 9:spade: 7:heart:
      BB bets $0.78, Hero calls $0.78

      Turn: ($2.34, 2 players) 3:heart:
      BB bets $3.07, fold

      BB wins $2.23
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello muel294,

      Depends what's his 3bet there? I would most likely just get it in if the 3bet is 16%. :) Not really worth Calling and hoping that you get away vs such opponents.

      Neither doesn't make sense to Call the pot size Bet on the flop and give up on the blank turn.

      Correct equity calc would be your first calculation.

      Best Regards.