[NL20-NL50] FR50 two overs and OESD on turn against LAG raise

    • circoflax
      Joined: 26.02.2010 Posts: 413
      MP2: $34.01 (68 bb)
      MP3: $51.95 (103.9 bb)
      Hero (CO): $112.52 (225 bb)
      BTN: $59.72 (119.4 bb)
      SB: $49.50 (99 bb)
      BB: $48.74 (97.5 bb)
      UTG+1: $50 (100 bb)
      UTG+2: $118.71 (237.4 bb)
      MP1: $15.50 (31 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with J Q
      5 folds, Hero raises to $2, BTN calls $2, 2 folds

      Flop: ($4.75) T 9 3 (2 players)
      Hero bets $3.50, BTN calls $3.50

      Turn: ($11.75) 4 (2 players)
      Hero bets $6, BTN raises to $13, Hero ??????

      Villain is kind of unknown, but playing very loose and aggressive enough. He is 63/39/25 over 43 hands. AF=2.6 I have noticed a couple of creative plays from this guy in the previous hands, but could not follow all the hands he played as I was 9-tabling. My image at the table is tight and aggressive(been playing 18/15/5), I have been cbetting and barrelling but nothing really crazy.

      On the turn I can't decide between all the 3 options.

      If i call the min raise and don't hit, the river I think is an automatic check fold. If I hit, I think I should donk the river, he may check back there. But how much do I bet if I hit? He may fold all 1 pair hands to a decent bet. So calling may be pretty bad.

      If I raise I'm commited and don't know if this guy is able to fold a pair here, so if he calls my money is going in behind.

      If I fold....?
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello circoflax,

      If he is a maniac I would even Bet the flop smaller ~$3 max but otherwise for the given odds I would still Call while we could easily maybe even see Check behind on the river if for example we do hit our J/Q and which could even be ahead.

      But of course just Bet/Folding is going to be rather safer play. Difficult to 3bet as you said you are against unknown.

      Best Regards.