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[NL20-NL50] FR50 89 flopped straight

    • circoflax
      Joined: 26.02.2010 Posts: 413
      UTG+2: $59.85 (119.7 bb)
      MP1: $48.50 (97 bb)
      MP2: $49.25 (98.5 bb)
      Hero (MP3): $56.89 (113.8 bb)
      CO: $70.79 (141.6 bb)
      BTN: $29.06 (58.1 bb)
      SB: $48.75 (97.5 bb)
      BB: $85.09 (170.2 bb)
      UTG+1: $55.26 (110.5 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is MP3 with 8 9
      UTG+1 raises to $1.75, 3 folds, Hero calls $1.75, 4 folds

      Flop: ($4.25) Q T J (2 players)
      UTG+1 bets $3.25, Hero calls $3.25

      Turn: ($10.75) T (2 players)
      UTG+1 bets $6, Hero calls $6

      River: ($22.75) A (2 players)
      UTG+1 bets $12, Hero folds

      Results: $22.75 pot ($1.13 rake)
      Final Board: Q T J T A
      Hero mucked 8 9 and lost (-$11 net)
      UTG+1 mucked and won $21.62 ($10.62 net)

      Villain is straightforward reg, 16/13/4.9, raise EP=10. Decent cbet and barrell, 70% on flop, 58% on turn.

      His most likely hand is AK, but I don't think I can let it go that easily. If I raise flop the only hand I am getting called by is maybe KK, I am dead against AK, and I think he is shoving sets with his good equity. The problem with raising is that I have to fold to a shove and he may be doing that with a set.

      Should I just fold the turn? I am still beating AA and KK, maybe AQ. Really don't think he would be bluffing on such a board.

      As played, what do I do if river is a blank and he fires? What about when he checks a river blank?
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello circoflax,

      Seems like a nice hand here, most likely I would have played the same way vs his overall range. If he has a lot of AK hands in his range then the equity which continues on the flop vs him will be pretty bad. Nice hand!

      As played, what do I do if river is a blank and he fires?

      What's his W$SD? If the same size I guess I would even make the crying Call while he could as well block-bet vs us.

      What about when he checks a river blank?

      Again what's his W$SD? :) Do you ever seem him Check/Calling with an overpair vs you? I would consider him being capable of doing that. Therefore we could Bet for value if we see him hero-calling.

      Best Regards.