[NL20-NL50] FR50 should I bluff here against tight opp?

    • circoflax
      Joined: 26.02.2010 Posts: 413
      UTG+2: $50 (100 bb)
      MP1: $54.33 (108.7 bb)
      MP2: $61.98 (124 bb)
      Hero (MP3): $72.19 (144.4 bb)
      CO: $59.51 (119 bb)
      BTN: $49.35 (98.7 bb)
      SB: $79.42 (158.8 bb)
      BB: $50 (100 bb)
      UTG+1: $46.26 (92.5 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is MP3 with 5 6
      4 folds, Hero raises to $1.50, 2 folds, SB calls $1.25, BB folds

      Flop: ($3.50) K 2 7 (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $2.25, SB calls $2.25

      Turn: ($8) T (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $5, SB calls $5

      River: ($18) 4 (2 players)
      SB bets $5, Hero ??????????

      Villain is tight 13/6, AF=2 over a small sample, 69 hands. He has yet to fold to any bet on flop or turn.

      Perfect flop for cbet. On the turn I bet again to get him off any pocket pair.
      Now when he blocks the river his hand looks very much like KJ-KQ. Should I bluff here, and if so, how much should I make it?

      If I make it more than 20, what am I actually representing? If I make it less then 20, which seems a more believable line, he may call me given the odds... I tend to make believable bets on river bluffs and then get called by exactly the hands I put them on and FML for not making it bigger.
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