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[NL2-NL10] NL4 FR AKs

    • JohnDoe1313
      Joined: 04.01.2011 Posts: 5,196
      Party, $0.02/$0.04 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      SB: $3.64 (91 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $1.54 (38.5 bb)
      MP2: $3.66 (91.5 bb)
      UTG+1: $7.03 (175.8 bb)
      MP3: $5.80 (145 bb) - VPIP: 17, PFR: 5, 3B: 3, AF: 8.0, Hands: 113
      CO: $1.75 (43.8 bb)
      UTG+2: $3.27 (81.8 bb) - VPIP: 33, PFR: 11, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 18
      BB: $6.59 (164.8 bb)
      MP1: $2.04 (51 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with A K
      UTG+1 folds, UTG+2 calls $0.04, 2 folds, MP3 raises to $0.20, CO folds, Hero ?

      Hello. MP seems tight. I'm thinking about 3bet, but I expect to get 4bet very often by QQ+, AK. There aren't many weaker hands in his range, so I cannot bluff 3bet profitably. If I 3bet to ~$0,6, I can't 3bet/fold since there is just 30% equity needed to call. 3betting small/folding isn't good option because of giving good odds.

      So should I just muck my hand? Thx
  • 1 reply
    • Gerv
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Hey John,

      You seem to forget he might call your 3bet which makes the play +EV overall than folding (EV=0)

      So even though he is pretty tight, our hand is significantly too strong equitywise to fold it preflop

      Best regards,