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[NL2-NL10] NL10 SH 84s freeplay flopped flush

    • RasTweet
      Joined: 26.12.2009 Posts: 4,553
      Hi guys!

      Villain: 38/3/1.0 only 29 hands

      What to do on the river? I expect him to call me down with trips and not raise on this board, so wasn't sure what to do. check folding looked a bit weak to me so I bet and hoped he didn't raise it.

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      SB ($12.49)
      Hero ($14.41)
      CO ($14.07)
      BTN ($1.20)

      Dealt to Hero 8:heart: 4:heart:

      CO calls $0.10, BTN calls $0.10, SB calls $0.05, Hero checks

      FLOP ($0.40) 9:heart: 2:heart: 3:heart:

      SB checks, Hero bets $0.30, CO calls $0.30, BTN folds, SB folds

      TURN ($1) 9:heart: 2:heart: 3:heart: 7:spade:

      Hero bets $0.75, CO calls $0.75

      RIVER ($2.50) 9:heart: 2:heart: 3:heart: 7:spade: 2:spade:

      Hero bets $1.25, CO calls $1.25

      Hero shows 8:heart: 4:heart:
      (Pre 59%, Flop 97.2%, Turn 100.0%)

      CO shows 2:club: 5:club:
      (Pre 41%, Flop 2.8%, Turn 0.0%)

      Hero wins $4.75

  • 2 replies
    • EmanuelC16
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,909
      I think your river bet is too small.

      Your opponent is slowly looking like a station so when you flop so well you should value bet on that river that is mostly a blank (sets raise before river very often and not many 2 pair in his range apart from 23s imo that have improved).

      This means his calling range isn't affected by it and neither is the strength of your hand. Knowing this means your sizing shouldn't change that much from the turn. What he folds now is busted FDs but he has too many showdown value hands he will check back so checking river is not an option to induce bluffs from missed draws (just not enough in his range). All his showdown value hands have the same relative value more or less as they had on the turn.

      That said, a river bet after flop and turn bet does look stronger but a bet in the region of 2/3-3/4 pot is definitely going to get good value.
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello RasTweet,

      Vs such stations with strong made hands you can easily start betting bigger on every street. Maybe even pot on the flop and of course bigger on turn as played like 90cents and $2 on river. :P

      Best Regards.