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[NL20-NL50] FR50 flopped top set part 2

    • circoflax
      Joined: 26.02.2010 Posts: 413
      UTG+2: $44.96 (89.9 bb)
      MP1: $57.97 (115.9 bb)
      MP2: $60.71 (121.4 bb)
      Hero (MP3): $54.22 (108.4 bb)
      CO: $30.95 (61.9 bb)
      BTN: $58.76 (117.5 bb)
      SB: $50.25 (100.5 bb)
      BB: $77.43 (154.9 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is MP3 with A A
      2 folds, MP2 raises to $1.50, Hero raises to $5.50, 4 folds, MP2 calls $4

      Flop: ($12) 4 A 2 (2 players)
      MP2 checks, Hero bets $7, MP2 calls $7

      Turn: ($26) J (2 players)
      MP2 checks, Hero checks

      River: ($26) Q (2 players)
      MP2 bets $12.50, Hero folds

      Results: $26 pot ($1.30 rake)
      Final Board: 4 A 2 J Q
      MP2 mucked and won $24.70 ($12.20 net)
      Hero mucked A A and lost (-$12.50 net)

      Villain is 20/10/3.3 over 74 hands, AF=3.3 and never folded on the flop yet.
      I bet the flop because of the two hearts and connected cards and when he called I couldn't just give him A :heart: . I really thought he would call me with hearts, so I was sick to see that turn and decided to check behind. River fold is pretty standard I think.

      What do you think, do I always need to bet the turn in this case? What do I do if he raises big and I don't have the odds to see the board pair? What if he does this check raising with a lower set and gets me off the best hand? I hate this spot when you can only give him one draw to call with and it comes in just like that.
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343

      He doesn´t always have there flushdraws if he is c/c flop and heart comes on the turn. I think he may easily have there Ax hands, sometimes 44/22 and if he slowplayed pf JJ-KK I think he would also c/c at least once.

      So I would bet there always both for protection and value, not sure I would always shove on blank river card, although if you don´t get c/r on the turn you´re likely always ahead and therefor should shove on blank rivers.

      Since my betsize on the turn would be 15-17$ I am pot committed to the pot and therefor can´t really b/f any more, so I am fine getting there all-in if player wants.

      River fold is likely fine, although I think he would sometimes turn some Ax hands without heart into bluff, although that is so few times that you likely don´t have to herocall with set.

      Best regards,