[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL 25 bluff catch nut non pair on river?

    • DeMarcohsp
      DeMarcohsp
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,975
      Poker Stars $25.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players

      UTG: $32.46 - VPIP: 13, PFR: 13, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 16
      MP: $30.28 - VPIP: 44, PFR: 6, 3B: 0, AF: 3.5, Hands: 48
      CO: $27.31 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 16, 3B: 3, AF: 3.0, Hands: 64
      BTN: $25.00 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 15, 3B: 3, AF: 1.2, Hands: 296
      SB: $25.00 - VPIP: 38, PFR: 38, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 21
      Hero (BB): $26.23 -

      Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is BB with K :heart: Q :heart:
      1 fold, MP calls $0.25, 1 fold, BTN raises to $1, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.75, MP calls $0.75

      Flop: ($3.10) 6 :club: A :heart: 5 :heart: (3 players)
      Hero bets $2.30, MP folds, BTN calls $2.30

      Turn: ($7.70) A :spade: (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN checks

      River: ($7.70) 3 :spade: (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $4.50, Hero calls $4.50

      Final Pot: $16.70


      On the flop I thought villain is not going to bet without a good hand so because I expect him to fold I bet for value vs the fish and as a bluff vs the reg ( he's going to fold without a good hand).

      On the turn I'd expect him to bet his Ax, can't imagine why he would not

      On the river I expect him to have either 66/55 or busted sd/fd.
  • 2 replies
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,908
      He can have TT, JJ, QQ, KK on the river and vbet them.

      Your donkbet is never a set and your turn and river checks is never Ax or better imo so all you are left with is some midpair or busted FD, easy bet for him with a range you won't exploit whaveter you do. :D

      Leading works there some of the time but since you are drawing to the nuts I prefer to keep the pot as small as possible and with as many players in as possible so c/c is probably better.

      LE: You can lead NFD blocker or some backdoor equity hand, maybe nut gutshots if the board allows it but NFD is too strong to lead and fold out weaker draws/get called by made hands.
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello DeMarcohsp,

      Not a huge fan of donking either. We wont be able to continue if we get raised, therefore rather just Check and reevaluate the further actions. You ain't gonna achieve much with the donk, especially vs such a tight BTN.

      But otherwise he could easily have there even PPs or whatsoever which could be Checking behind. Not really a huge fan of hero-calling.

      Best Regards.