[NL2-NL10] NL10 AKo 3bet a fish called by a Reg

    • BAMLara
      Joined: 18.09.2007 Posts: 66
      Hi, on this hand i was 3betting a fish who was 4 betting very light but instead i got call by bb regular his stats are:
      Vpip 13 PFR 12 AF 5 WTSD 27

      I put him on AA-KK (if he was hoping for the fish to 4bet) or small pockets pairs, since i wasn't showing any aggression, i assume he was going to bet his missed set, first i was just going to call his river bet, but since the pot was so big and because i don't think he put much attention on players stacks i decided to shove.

      iPoker - $0.10 NL - Holdem - 8 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      MP+1: $3.43
      Hero (CO): $4.64
      BTN: $12.44
      SB: $4.11
      BB: $10.15
      UTG: $3.50
      UTG+1: $10.00
      MP: $10.50

      SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10, UTG+1 posts DB $0.10

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.25) Hero has K:spade: A:club:

      UTG calls $0.10, UTG+1 checks, MP raises to $0.60, fold, Hero raises to $1.70, fold, fold, BB calls $1.60, fold, fold, fold

      Flop: ($4.25, 2 players) 8:club: 9:spade: 3:heart:
      BB checks, Hero checks

      Turn: ($4.25, 2 players) K:diamond:
      BB checks, Hero checks

      River: ($4.25, 2 players) 8:spade:
      BB bets $2.12, Hero raises to $2.94, BB calls $0.82


  • 1 reply
    • Gerv
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Hey bamlara,
      We have to shove the Flop here versus this player. Mathematically speaking we shove $2.9 into a pot of $4.25 so without any equity we need him to fold 2.9/(2.9+4.25) = 40%

      But since we have 6 outs, he needs to fold even less to be profitable here. Also we do not check back with JJ+ so it is pretty obvious for him what you have right now

      Best regards,