[NL20-NL50] SH50 - 2ndBarrel against float

    • chocular77
      chocular77
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,102
      Known players:
      Position:
      Stack
      Hero:
      $48
      BB:
      $43,4

      0,25/0,5 No-Limit Hold'em (3 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy.com Elephant 0.106 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

      There are FR stats mixed in (only got 590 hands in SH)
      His real stats are: 25/21
      FbbtoS: 62%
      3B on BB = 13%
      FtoCB =11%

      Preflop: Hero is SB with A:heart: , 5:heart:
      BU folds, Hero raises to $1,25, BB calls $0,75.

      Flop: ($2,50) T:spade: , 4:spade: , 2:club: (2 players)
      Hero bets $1,6, BB calls $1,60.

      This opponent is very likely to float if he just calls preflop.
      So i planned to barrel twice with my GS+ Ahigh.

      Turn: ($5,70) Q:diamond: (2 players)
      Hero bets $3,5, BB raises to $11,25, Hero folds, BB gets uncalled bet back.

      Good card to fire again but can't continue to a Turn raise.
      Should i play it any different?

      Final Pot: $12,70
  • 3 replies
    • KillerFishes
      KillerFishes
      Bronze
      Joined: 11.07.2010 Posts: 2,313
      Hey man,

      you need 62%FE on turn to make it profitable ...

      I don't think you will ever gain this kind of FE on this board texture... when he calls he will very likely call turn or with some combo draw raise you ...
      => you're more or less donating ...


      cya
    • chocular77
      chocular77
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,102
      Originally posted by KillerFishes
      Hey man,

      you need 62%FE on turn to make it profitable ...

      I don't think you will ever gain this kind of FE on this board texture... when he calls he will very likely call turn or with some combo draw raise you ...
      => you're more or less donating ...


      cya
      Hi Killerfishes,

      Maybe i calculate something wrong but i only need 38% fold equity (3,5/92).
      He is a very aggressive player and likes to float so it's even very likely that he has just air.

      + He will fold a lot of his 55-99 with the Q on the turn so i don't think it's donating...

      Even if he calls i still have a gutshot and maybe 2-3 Aces which give me the best hand.

      I maybe even induced him to bluff raise me on turn because i bet to small.
      Which hand would play call flop raise turn?
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Hi,

      I think firing turn is fine. He would likely not fold Tx, but he may fold there easily his Ax hands that he floated on the flop or some small pp-s. I would bet myself at least 4.5$. 3.5$ is a little small and may induce bluffraises. I would likely stack off there Qx+ (meaning b/c turn and c/c most rivers), since I think he would also try to outplay be sometimes.

      Best regards,