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[NL20-NL50] SH50 - 2P river decision

    • chocular77
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,102
      Known players:

      0,25/0,5 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Elephant 0.106 by

      Preflop: Hero is MP3 with Q:club: , J:heart:
      MP2 folds, Hero raises to $1,75, CO folds, BU calls $1,75, SB calls $1,50, BB folds.

      BU call open = 22%
      BU 3B = 7%
      FtoCB = 36%
      AF by street: 1,8/0,8/1,0

      Flop: ($5,75) Q:diamond: , J:spade: , 6:heart: (3 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $4,5, BU calls $4,50, SB folds.

      Turn: ($14,75) 3:spade: (2 players)
      Hero bets $10,5, BU calls $10,50.

      River: ($35,75) 4:club: (2 players)
      Hero checks, BU bets $16, Hero calls $16,00.

      I thought there is more value in inducing a bluff but there are hardly any draws which he could turn into a bluff and BU is also rather passive.
      So should i just valuebet/shove?

      Final Pot: $67,75
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343

      top two pair is definitely strong enough hand to go 3 streets for value yourself
      Since he has there 28$ left I would put him all-in. If you check then I think c/rai is more profitable than c/c. he would likely shove his 66 on the river, so I think he should have there most of the times worst hand and if he has Jx he would also b/c river

      best regards,