This site uses cookies to improve your browsing experience. By continuing to browse the website, you accept such cookies. For more details and to change your settings, see our Cookie Policy and Privacy Policy. Close

[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL25 QQ set vs river shove

    • duder1n0
      duder1n0
      Black
      Joined: 07.07.2009 Posts: 5,335
      $25.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players -

      BTN: $45.44
      SB: $26.77
      BB: $25.52
      Hero (UTG): $26.73
      MP: $24.63
      CO: $25.00

      Pre Flop: ($0.37) Hero is UTG with Q :heart: Q :spade:
      Hero raises to $0.75, 2 folds, BTN calls $0.75, 2 folds

      Flop: ($1.87) Q :club: T :spade: 9 :diamond: (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.40, BTN calls $1.40

      Turn: ($4.67) 4 :heart: (2 players)
      Hero bets $3.75, BTN calls $3.75

      River: ($12.17) 6 :heart: (2 players)
      Hero bets $9.50, BTN raises to $39.54, Hero ???


      BTN (583 hands)
      VPIP/PFR/3bet/BTNcallopen 34/15/1/26
      foldtoCbetflop/turn/river 56/25(1/4)/67(2/3)
      AFflop/turn/river 2,2/1,5/7,7
      AFqflop/turn/river 36/29/41
      WtSD/W$SD 24/64


      Another sweet spot, just love them so much... :)
      Preflop/flop/turn standard, river valuebet is standard.
      Is herofolding out of the question vs him? I need 21% to make the call.
      If I'm being optimistic:

      Asztal: Q:club: T:spade: 9:diamond:  4:heart:  6:heart:
             Részesedés   Nyert  Osztozás
      MP2        31.43%  31.43%     0.00% { QhQs }
      BU         68.57%  68.57%     0.00% { QQ, TT-99, KJs, QTs-Q9s, J8s, T9s, 87s, KJo, QTo }

      If I'm being pessimistic (or just realistic?), and he would do this monster line with straights and sets:

      Asztal: Q:club: T:spade: 9:diamond:  4:heart:  6:heart:
             Részesedés   Nyert  Osztozás
      MP2        20.00%  20.00%     0.00% { QhQs }
      BU         80.00%  80.00%     0.00% { TT-99, KJs, J8s, 87s, KJo }

      Or would I say just "f*ck it", and call? :)
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Hi,

      Since he would also shove there sets I think you can never really fold your top set. You have put in over 60% over your stack, so I think it is easy b/c consider how good pot odds you´re getting

      best regards,