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[NL20-NL50] nl50 T9s semibluff, river decision

    • urmo1
      Joined: 02.03.2008 Posts: 718
      Poker Stars $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players -

      CO: $52.47
      BTN: $85.85
      Hero (SB): $113.48
      BB: $61.96
      UTG: $73.43
      MP: $114.80

      Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is SB with T :spade: 9 :spade:
      1 fold, MP raises to $1.50, CO calls $1.50, 1 fold, Hero calls $1.25, 1 fold

      Flop: ($5.00) 3 :spade: 6 :club: J :spade: (3 players)
      Hero checks, MP bets $3, CO folds, Hero raises to $8.50, MP calls $5.50

      Turn: ($22.00) Q :diamond: (2 players)
      Hero bets $14.50, MP calls $14.50

      River: ($51.00) xxx (2 players)
      hero ..

      first of all, pre call is not std, CO was a big fish. MP was running 22/19, flop cbet 70%, fold cbet to raise 60%, w$sd 49%
      plan was to chk-call the flop when fish called the cbet from reg and to c-raise when fish had folded.

      flop and turn sizing are ok?

      questions for several rivers:
      1) Ad - do we barrel off? like 3/4 psb though i feel like he might have AJ
      2) Td - same question
      3) 5s - when we vbet like 2/3 psb and got shoved over, then we would fold considering the depth of stacks?
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343

      If MP had reasonable stats I would likely just 3-bet squeeze pf to take down pot pf or with c-bet postflop.

      I think 8.5$ c/r is a little too small to fold out overpairs. If you want to have fold equity on the flop against Jx+ I would make it 9.5$. Turn bet is fine
      On the river I think you have to bet 38$ any river. He likely doesn´t have there AJ hand and I would put him to KK/AA and sometimes flushdraws.
      You´re representing set, so I think aces/kings may fold big bet on the river unless they hit their set.

      If you hit your flush and river is 5s I think I would b/f. Haven´t seen anyone shoving there as bluff and even slowplayed sets would likely just call

      Best regards,