[NL2-NL10] AQo 12.04.

    • HansTheGreat
      HansTheGreat
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.02.2010 Posts: 3,808
      BTN: $3.35 - VPIP: 8, PFR: 8, 3B: 2, AF: 3.6, Hands: 825
      SB: $13.79 - VPIP: 13, PFR: 4, 3B: 0, AF: 2.0, Hands: 46
      Hero (BB): $10.00 - VPIP: 16, PFR: 12, 3B: 4, AF: 4.1, Hands: 84062
      UTG: $12.00 - VPIP: 28, PFR: 8, 3B: 14, AF: 2.8, Hands: 78
      UTG+1: $10.91 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 15, 3B: 0, AF: 2.5, Hands: 62
      MP1: $9.35 - VPIP: 27, PFR: 10, 3B: 0, AF: 1.4, Hands: 67
      MP2: $10.20 - VPIP: 20, PFR: 10, 3B: 0, AF: 8.0, Hands: 50
      CO: $3.93 - VPIP: 28, PFR: 20, 3B: 9, AF: 1.7, Hands: 331

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is BB with A :club: Q :spade:
      1 fold, UTG+1 raises to $0.35, 5 folds, Hero calls $0.25

      Flop: ($0.75) 3 :heart: 2 :heart: A :heart: (2 players)
      Hero checks, UTG+1 bets $0.50, Hero calls $0.50

      Turn: ($1.75) T :club: (2 players)
      Hero checks, UTG+1 checks

      River: ($1.75) 5 :spade: (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.95, UTG+1 folds

  • 4 replies
    • rogervieri
      rogervieri
      Bronze
      Joined: 09.12.2010 Posts: 1,034
      Hi Sikac

      I like your stats VPIP/PFR/AF 16/12/4.1, especially given the sample of 84k hands!

      Now about the hand:
      I would like to put UTG+1 on the following range:
      55+, ATs+, AQo+, KJs+, KQo, JTs+ (9.65%)

      preflop equity:
      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 53.035 % 48.244 % 9.582 % 42.175 % 55+, ATs+, KJs+, QJs, JTs, AQo+, KQo
      Player 2: 46.965 % 42.175 % 9.582 % 48.244 % AcQs

      flop: 3 :heart: 2 :heart: A :heart:

      postflop equity:
      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 35.540 % 30.823 % 9.433 % 59.744 % 55+, ATs+, KJs+, QJs, JTs, AQo+, KQo
      Player 2: 64.460 % 59.744 % 9.433 % 30.823 % AcQs

      I think that makes you calling villain's c-bet very OK :D

      turn: T :club:

      Turn equity:
      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 34.142 % 31.001 % 6.282 % 62.717 % 55+, ATs+, KJs+, QJs, JTs, AQo+, KQo
      Player 2: 65.858 % 62.717 % 6.282 % 31.001 % AcQs

      We even pick up some more equity against his range + the fact that he checks behind either means 1 of 2 things:
      1) he doesn't have an ace (of maybe with weak kicker like A6, A7, A8 or A9)
      2) he's very afraid of the flush

      River: 5 :spade:

      River Equity:
      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 27.907 % 24.419 % 6.977 % 68.605 % 55+, ATs+, KJs+, QJs, JTs, AQo+, KQo
      Player 2: 72.093 % 68.605 % 6.977 % 24.419 % AcQs

      River basically blanks, so you were right to put in a value-bet.

      How do you see the size of your value bet?? it's little over 1/2 potsize...do you still agree with that amount after the hand?? Do you also have the WTSD stat for this villain?? perhaps it can help us determine the probability if he would still call a fair sized riverbet

      PS> I think the best sizing is 1/3 (33%) potsize, because of 2 reasons:
      1) at least you still make some extra money on the river
      2) it makes your bluffs cheaper (let's say your hand was K :heart: , Q :spade: with the nut-blocker in your hand, you might bluff also in this spot)

      Perhaps a coach or someone else can comment on this as well

      good luck on the tables!!
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Sikac,

      Well, do you ever see him Checking behind the turn with Ax? :) I wouldn't, therefore most likely just has a weak hand there. Do you think he is capable of hero-calling with some worse PPs? Then sure, you could Bet there but if rather not then I would just let him bluff with some missed FDs or whatsoever.

      Best Regards.
    • HansTheGreat
      HansTheGreat
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.02.2010 Posts: 3,808
      What do you think about donking/F the turn?I don t like that much giving free cards away
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Originally posted by Sikac
      What do you think about donking/F the turn?I don t like that much giving free cards away
      Yes, could work out. :)